+506 2216 0222 paesa@iica.int
Blog IICA

Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

38 results

Community alert prevented deaths

22/09/2026 Go to Evidence

19 people, mostly women farmers, operate the Community Hydroclimatic Monitoring Network in southern Ahuachapán, El Salvador; during Tropical Storm Julia, an alert issued after more than six hours of rain enabled vulnerable families to evacuate two hours before the rivers overflowed, with no loss of life.

Paz Cardona (2026)

Paz Cardona, A. (2026, 22 de septiembre). Comunidades latinoamericanas se apropian de los datos científicos para sobrevivir a la crisis climática. Agencia Ocote. https://www.agenciaocote.com/blog/2026/09/22/datos-climaticos-comunitarios-sobrevivir-crisis-climatica/

Tag: Climate_Risks Floods
Country: El Salvador
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Women Rural communities
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Information generation

High chance of below-normal rainfall

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

>70% is the probability of much below-normal precipitation across the northeastern Caribbean from September through November 2026, according to the North American Multi-Model Ensemble.

National Weather Service San Juan (2026).

National Weather Service San Juan. (2026, September 3). Drought Information Statement for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=SJU&product=DGT&site=NWS

Tag: Droughts Climate_Risks
Country: Puerto Rico United States Virgin Islands
Sector: Environment and natural resources
Area: Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Prospective studies (forecasting) Situation and prospective analysis (regional or international) Early warning systems

62%: Extraordinary Coastal El Niño

28/08/2026 Go to Evidence

62% or higher is the probability that Coastal El Niño will reach extraordinary magnitude in the Niño 1+2 region between September 2026 and January 2027.

ENFEN (2026)

Comisión Multisectorial encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN). (2026, 28 de agosto). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N.° 15-2026. OPSAa: https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-3022-comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026. Documento original: https://enfen.imarpe.gob.pe/download/comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026/?wpdmdl=2145

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Peru
Sector: Aquaculture and fishery products Environment and natural resources
Area: Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers

58%: Very strong El Niño in Niño 3.4

28/08/2026 Go to Evidence

58% or higher is the probability that El Niño will reach very strong magnitude in the Niño 3.4 region between September 2026 and January 2027.

ENFEN (2026)

Comisión Multisectorial encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN). (2026, 28 de agosto). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N.° 15-2026. OPSAa: https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-3022-comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026. Documento original: https://enfen.imarpe.gob.pe/download/comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026/?wpdmdl=2145

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Niño Region 3.4
Sector: Aquaculture and fishery products Environment and natural resources
Area: Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers

43%: Extraordinary Coastal El Niño in summer

28/08/2026 Go to Evidence

43% is the estimated probability of an extraordinary Coastal El Niño in the Niño 1+2 region during the summer from December 2026 to March 2027.

ENFEN (2026)

Comisión Multisectorial encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN). (2026, 28 de agosto). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N.° 15-2026. OPSAa: https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-3022-comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026. Documento original: https://enfen.imarpe.gob.pe/download/comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026/?wpdmdl=2145

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Peru
Sector: Aquaculture and fishery products Environment and natural resources
Area: Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers

Four countries exposed in the Dry Corridor

26/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 Central American countries, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, contain extensive areas of the Dry Corridor exposed to prolonged droughts and extreme rainfall associated with El Niño.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿El Niño llevará al agro de Centroamérica a una crisis alimentaria? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/el-nino-crisis-alimentaria-centroamerica-onu-alerta-agro/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Regional_Cooperation
Country: Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Nicaragua Central America
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Cereals and cereal products
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Early warning systems International technical cooperation
Beneficiary: Rural communities Family agriculture Agricultural producers Public institutions
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Impact: Food and nutritional security Institutional capacity building

Four rainless weeks destroy crops

26/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 weeks without rainfall were enough to destroy staple crop plantings in agricultural communities in Guatemala and El Salvador, worsening food insecurity risks.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿El Niño llevará al agro de Centroamérica a una crisis alimentaria? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/el-nino-crisis-alimentaria-centroamerica-onu-alerta-agro/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition
Country: Guatemala El Salvador Central America
Sector: Cereals and cereal products Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Food aid Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Rural communities Family agriculture Agricultural producers Consumers
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Risk mitigation Food access Impact: Climate risk resilience

87.5 million affected by climate

02/07/2026 Go to Evidence

87.5 million people were affected in contexts where extreme weather events predominated as the main driver of acute food insecurity.

FAO, WFP y GNAFC (2026)

FAO, WFP, & GNAFC. (2026). 2026 Global Report on Food Crises: Joint analysis for better decisions. Rome: FAO & WFP. https://www.wfp.org/publications/global-report-food-crises-grfc

Tag: Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Food Multisectoral
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Collect, analyze, disseminate and exchange data and information between countries Situation and prospective analysis (regional or international) Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Public institutions Civil Society Organizations (CSOs)
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Food access Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation