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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

159 results

10.5 million exposed in the Dry Corridor

26/07/2026 Go to Evidence

10.5 million people live in the Central American Dry Corridor and depend mainly on subsistence maize and bean farming, which is highly vulnerable to El Niño.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿El Niño llevará al agro de Centroamérica a una crisis alimentaria? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/el-nino-crisis-alimentaria-centroamerica-onu-alerta-agro/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Droughts
Country: Central America Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Nicaragua
Sector: Cereals and cereal products Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Family agriculture Rural communities Agricultural producers Consumers
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Food access

87.5 million affected by climate

02/07/2026 Go to Evidence

87.5 million people were affected in contexts where extreme weather events predominated as the main driver of acute food insecurity.

FAO, WFP y GNAFC (2026)

FAO, WFP, & GNAFC. (2026). 2026 Global Report on Food Crises: Joint analysis for better decisions. Rome: FAO & WFP. https://www.wfp.org/publications/global-report-food-crises-grfc

Tag: Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Food Multisectoral
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Collect, analyze, disseminate and exchange data and information between countries Situation and prospective analysis (regional or international) Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Public institutions Civil Society Organizations (CSOs)
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Food access Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Four sectors have preventive measures

01/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 productive sectors, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture and fisheries, have differentiated preventive measures under Ecuador's Contingency Plan for the possible occurrence of El Niño.

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Floods
Country: Ecuador
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Aquaculture and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Meat and animal products
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Early warning systems Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Rural communities Public institutions Agricultural workers
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Impact: Food and nutritional security Improved public policy formulation and implementation Institutional capacity building

Brazil mobilizes 20 ministries

20/06/2026 Go to Evidence

20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.

OPSAa (2026)

OPSAa. (2026, 20 de junio). Brasil moviliza 20 ministerios para enfrentar el impacto de El Niño. https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-2787-brasil-moviliza-20-ministerios-para-enfrentar-el-impacto-de-el-nino

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: Brazil
Sector: Multisectoral Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Early warning systems Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Institutional capacity building Improved public policy formulation and implementation

Very strong El Niño reaches 63%

20/06/2026 Go to Evidence

63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.

Badal (2026)

Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Chile
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Aquaculture and fishery products Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Extreme rains could reach 200 mm

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

200 millimeters of rain in a single day may occur during localized extreme events associated with El Niño in Paraguay, creating problems for production.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Floods
Country: Paraguay
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Strengthened water resources management

El Niño settled in region 3-4

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Paraguay Niño Region 3.4
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Collect, analyze, disseminate and exchange data and information between countries Situation and prospective analysis (regional or international)
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Public institutions
Result: Information generation Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation

El Niño impact expected from September

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

September onward is the period when Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock expects El Niño could have a significant impact, coinciding with the start of the rainy season.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Floods
Country: Paraguay
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses Education and awareness building
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Super El Niño risk

11/06/2026 Go to Evidence

30-40% is AccuWeather’s estimated probability that the event could evolve into a rare “Super El Niño”, with conditions potentially lasting through 2026 and even into 2027.

AccuWeather (2026)

AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: World (aggregate) Niño Region 3.4
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Information generation Impact: Food and nutritional security

USD 1.1 billion in agricultural losses

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

USD 1.1 billion in estimated economic losses were recorded for California's agricultural sector during the 2021 drought.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026)

Tag: Floods Climate_Risks Droughts
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-environmental Environment and natural resources Agricultural Support Services
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Policy to Improve Data and Information Access and Management Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Information generation Strengthened water resources management Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience