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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

194 results

10.5 million exposed in the Dry Corridor

26/07/2026 Go to Evidence

10.5 million people live in the Central American Dry Corridor and depend mainly on subsistence maize and bean farming, which is highly vulnerable to El Niño.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿El Niño llevará al agro de Centroamérica a una crisis alimentaria? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/el-nino-crisis-alimentaria-centroamerica-onu-alerta-agro/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Droughts
Country: Central America Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Nicaragua
Sector: Cereals and cereal products Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Family agriculture Rural communities Agricultural producers Consumers
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Food access

87.5 million affected by climate

02/07/2026 Go to Evidence

87.5 million people were affected in contexts where extreme weather events predominated as the main driver of acute food insecurity.

FAO, WFP y GNAFC (2026)

FAO, WFP, & GNAFC. (2026). 2026 Global Report on Food Crises: Joint analysis for better decisions. Rome: FAO & WFP. https://www.wfp.org/publications/global-report-food-crises-grfc

Tag: Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Food Multisectoral
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Collect, analyze, disseminate and exchange data and information between countries Situation and prospective analysis (regional or international) Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Public institutions Civil Society Organizations (CSOs)
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Food access Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Two mechanisms protect rural investment

01/07/2026 Go to Evidence

2 economic protection mechanisms, market diversification and agricultural insurance, are included in the plan to prevent price declines and facilitate the recovery of affected producers' investments.

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Value_chains InvestmentFinancing
Country: Ecuador
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Aquaculture and fishery products Finance, banking and insurance
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Harvest insurance Marketing and trade promotion Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture Exporters Producer organizations (cooperatives, etc.)
Result: Risk mitigation Profitability Income improvement Improved commercial competitiveness Cost Reduction

Four sectors have preventive measures

01/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 productive sectors, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture and fisheries, have differentiated preventive measures under Ecuador's Contingency Plan for the possible occurrence of El Niño.

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Floods
Country: Ecuador
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Aquaculture and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Meat and animal products
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Early warning systems Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Rural communities Public institutions Agricultural workers
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Impact: Food and nutritional security Improved public policy formulation and implementation Institutional capacity building

Brazil mobilizes 20 ministries

20/06/2026 Go to Evidence

20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.

OPSAa (2026)

OPSAa. (2026, 20 de junio). Brasil moviliza 20 ministerios para enfrentar el impacto de El Niño. https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-2787-brasil-moviliza-20-ministerios-para-enfrentar-el-impacto-de-el-nino

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: Brazil
Sector: Multisectoral Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Early warning systems Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Institutional capacity building Improved public policy formulation and implementation

Very strong El Niño reaches 63%

20/06/2026 Go to Evidence

63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.

Badal (2026)

Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Chile
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Aquaculture and fishery products Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Anchovy could fall 70%

20/06/2026 Go to Evidence

70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.

Badal (2026)

Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Chile
Sector: Aquaculture and fishery products Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Value Chains
Result: Risk mitigation Improved productivity Cost Reduction

Extreme rains could reach 200 mm

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

200 millimeters of rain in a single day may occur during localized extreme events associated with El Niño in Paraguay, creating problems for production.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Floods
Country: Paraguay
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Strengthened water resources management

El Niño impact expected from September

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

September onward is the period when Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock expects El Niño could have a significant impact, coinciding with the start of the rainy season.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Floods
Country: Paraguay
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses Education and awareness building
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

El Niño settled in region 3-4

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Paraguay Niño Region 3.4
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Collect, analyze, disseminate and exchange data and information between countries Situation and prospective analysis (regional or international)
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Public institutions
Result: Information generation Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation