Evidences
13 results
4 low-intensity, short-lived tropical systems had been observed in the 2026 Atlantic season by August 28; only Tropical Storm Dolly occurred in the main development region. Météo-France links this historically low activity to the strong El Niño and high wind shear.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). El Niño 2026 confirmé comme un épisode exceptionnel. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/el-nino-2026-confirme-comme-un-episode-exceptionnel
70-150 mm of rain was forecast for the following 15-30 days across several regions of Mexico, with local totals of 200-350 mm, mainly in mountainous areas.
Cortés (2026).
Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette
11 to 16 named storms are projected by AccuWeather for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season; with El Niño arriving early, the forecast is leaning closer to 11 than to 16.
AccuWeather (2026)
AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html
16 of 22 departments in Guatemala had severe crop damage from hurricanes Eta and Iota in 2020 (World Bank, 2024).
Banco Mundial, 2024
Banco Mundial. 2024.Estudio de factibilidad: Soluciones de financiamiento y seguro contra riesgos de desastres para agricultores familiares en El Salvador, Honduras y Guatemala. https://opsaa.iica.int/resource-1589-estudio-de-factibilidad:-soluciones-de-financiamiento-y-seguro-contra-riesgos-de-desastres-para-agricultores-familiares-en-el-salvador,-honduras-y-guatemala
Hurricane Ivan in 2004 caused $44.6 million in damage to Grenada's agricultural sector (Shynkarenko, 2023).
Shynkarenko, 2023
Shynkarenko.2023. Estudio de viabilidad de seguros agrícolas en el Caribe. https://opsaa.iica.int/resource-1590-estudio-de-viabilidad-de-seguros-agricolas-en-el-caribe
16 million dollars in agricultural damage caused by Hurricane Emily in 2005 in Grenada (Shynkarenko, 2023).
Shynkarenko, 2023
Shynkarenko.2023. Estudio de viabilidad de seguros agrícolas en el Caribe. https://opsaa.iica.int/resource-1590-estudio-de-viabilidad-de-seguros-agricolas-en-el-caribe
190 million people in Latin America and the Caribbean were affected by 1,534 disasters (2000-2022), making it the second most disaster-prone region in the world (OCHA, 2023).
OCHA, 2023
OCHA.2023. Panorama de los Desastres en América Latina y el Caribe 2000 - 2022
53 million people have been affected by droughts since 2000, the most impactful disaster in Latin America and the Caribbean, followed by floods (49M) and storms (47M) (OCHA, 2023).
OCHA, 2023
OCHA.2023. Panorama de los Desastres en América Latina y el Caribe 2000 - 2022
910,000 people were left homeless and 9,500 were killed by storms in Latin America and the Caribbean (2000-2022) (OCHA, 2023).
OCHA, 2023
OCHA.2023. Panorama de los Desastres en América Latina y el Caribe 2000 - 2022
30 named storms, including 14 hurricanes and 7 major hurricanes, marked the 2020 hurricane season, the most active on record (OCHA, 2023).
OCHA, 2023
OCHA.2023. Panorama de los Desastres en América Latina y el Caribe 2000 - 2022
