129 results
82% is the probability that El Niño will develop by July 2026, according to a forecast cited by Reuters.
Reuters (2026)
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/us-forecaster-says-el-nino-has-82-chance-developing-by-july-2026-2026-05-14/
167 million people face moderate or severe food insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean; in addition, more than 33 million suffer from hunger and over 181 million cannot afford a healthy diet.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
22% of global agricultural disaster losses are accounted for by the Americas, with losses estimated at USD 713 billion.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
More than 100,000 people in 250 rural communities benefited from anticipatory actions implemented in nine countries during the 2023-2024 El Niño event, with increases of up to 40% in maize and bean production in some Central American countries.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
In Arauca, Colombia, there are approximately 482,631 hectares dedicated to agricultural activities at risk due to permanent exposure to flooding. (Fundación Cocoras, 2026).
Fundación Cocoras, 2026
Fundación Cocoras
Between 25% and 30% of the 1,345,000 head of cattle are exposed to disease, death and loss of pastures, with the greatest impact in Arauca, Arauquita and Tame, Colombia. (Fundación Corocoras, 2026).
Fundación Corocoras, 2026
Fundación Corocoras
More than 20% is NOAA’s estimated probability of an extreme version of El Niño occurring, although experts warn that uncertainty remains.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
1997 was the last time Argentina observed an extreme version of El Niño, associated with intense rainfall, floods, and damage in urban and agricultural areas.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
Nearly 30% was the year-on-year increase in grain harvests during intense El Niño events, such as 1997 and 2014-2016, due to productivity gains.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
60% is the approximate probability assigned by Enfen to a weak El Niño event in Peru during 2026.
Bío Bío Chile (2026)
Bío Bío Chile. (2026, 1 de mayo). Lluvias, sequías y calor extremo: cómo afectará "El Niño Global" a Chile y Perú este año. https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/ciencia-y-tecnologia/medio-ambiente-cyt/2026/05/01/lluvias-sequias-y-calor-extremo-como-afectara-el-nino-global-a-chile-y-peru-este-ano.shtml