+506 2216 0222 paesa@iica.int
Blog IICA

Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

129 results

El Niño may pressure two inflation types

28/07/2026 Go to Evidence

2 components of inflation, food and energy, could increase in response to an intense El Niño event in Latin America during 2026.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 28 de julio). ¿Qué países serán los más golpeados por El Niño en 2026? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/paises-mas-golpeados-el-nino-america-latina-2026/

Tag: Food_Inflation ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Agriculture&Energy
Country: Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate) Colombia Peru Brazil Argentina
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Renewable energy
Area: Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Consumers Agricultural producers Private enterprises Public institutions
Result: Food affordability Impact: Food and nutritional security Risk mitigation

Four countries most exposed to El Niño

28/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 Latin American countries, Colombia, Peru, Brazil and Argentina, have the greatest exposure to an intense El Niño event in 2026, according to a Bank of America report.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 28 de julio). ¿Qué países serán los más golpeados por El Niño en 2026? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/paises-mas-golpeados-el-nino-america-latina-2026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition
Country: Colombia Peru Brazil Argentina Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation

Four countries exposed in the Dry Corridor

26/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 Central American countries, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, contain extensive areas of the Dry Corridor exposed to prolonged droughts and extreme rainfall associated with El Niño.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿El Niño llevará al agro de Centroamérica a una crisis alimentaria? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/el-nino-crisis-alimentaria-centroamerica-onu-alerta-agro/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Regional_Cooperation
Country: Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Nicaragua Central America
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Cereals and cereal products
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Early warning systems International technical cooperation
Beneficiary: Rural communities Family agriculture Agricultural producers Public institutions
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Impact: Food and nutritional security Institutional capacity building

Four rainless weeks destroy crops

26/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 weeks without rainfall were enough to destroy staple crop plantings in agricultural communities in Guatemala and El Salvador, worsening food insecurity risks.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿El Niño llevará al agro de Centroamérica a una crisis alimentaria? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/el-nino-crisis-alimentaria-centroamerica-onu-alerta-agro/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition
Country: Guatemala El Salvador Central America
Sector: Cereals and cereal products Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Food aid Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Rural communities Family agriculture Agricultural producers Consumers
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Risk mitigation Food access Impact: Climate risk resilience

10.5 million exposed in the Dry Corridor

26/07/2026 Go to Evidence

10.5 million people live in the Central American Dry Corridor and depend mainly on subsistence maize and bean farming, which is highly vulnerable to El Niño.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿El Niño llevará al agro de Centroamérica a una crisis alimentaria? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/el-nino-crisis-alimentaria-centroamerica-onu-alerta-agro/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Droughts
Country: Central America Guatemala El Salvador Honduras Nicaragua
Sector: Cereals and cereal products Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Family agriculture Rural communities Agricultural producers Consumers
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Food access

Estimated hunger due to the effects of El Niño

09/07/2026 Go to Evidence

A scenario simulating the impact of a strong warm phase of the El Niño phenomenon suggests that export restrictions would add 21.4 million people to the number of people experiencing hunger.(Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).

Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura. (2026). State of Agricultural Commodity Markets explores how best to cope with shocks.

Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura

Tag: ElNiño Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Food
Area: Agrifood Context

Four sectors have preventive measures

01/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 productive sectors, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture and fisheries, have differentiated preventive measures under Ecuador's Contingency Plan for the possible occurrence of El Niño.

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Floods
Country: Ecuador
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Aquaculture and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Meat and animal products
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Early warning systems Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Rural communities Public institutions Agricultural workers
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Impact: Food and nutritional security Improved public policy formulation and implementation Institutional capacity building

Two mechanisms protect rural investment

01/07/2026 Go to Evidence

2 economic protection mechanisms, market diversification and agricultural insurance, are included in the plan to prevent price declines and facilitate the recovery of affected producers' investments.

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)

Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Value_chains InvestmentFinancing
Country: Ecuador
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Aquaculture and fishery products Finance, banking and insurance
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Harvest insurance Marketing and trade promotion Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture Exporters Producer organizations (cooperatives, etc.)
Result: Risk mitigation Profitability Income improvement Improved commercial competitiveness Cost Reduction

4.99 million may need aid in Colombia

25/06/2026 Go to Evidence

Between 4.0 and 4.99 million people are expected to need humanitarian food assistance in Colombia during the projection period through January 2027 as the negative impacts of El Niño increasingly affect livelihoods. La Guajira and Chocó are expected to remain in Crisis, IPC Phase 3, due to weather shocks, localized insecurity, reduced production and income, and prices rising above general inflation.

FEWS NET (2026)

FEWS NET. (2026). Múltiples choques impulsan resultados de Crisis (Fase 3, CIF) en La Guajira y Chocó: Perspectiva de seguridad alimentaria, junio de 2026-enero de 2027. https://fews.net/es/latin-america-and-caribbean/colombia/perspectiva-de-seguridad-alimentaria/junio-2026

Tag: ElNiño Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Climate_Risks Floods
Country: Colombia
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Environment and natural resources Meat and animal products Food
Area: Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Rural communities Indigenous communities Agricultural producers
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Income improvement Food access

2.49 million need food aid in Guatemala

22/06/2026 Go to Evidence

Between 2.0 and 2.49 million people will need food assistance in Guatemala from June to September 2026, reaching the upper end of the range between July and August as food stocks decline, income sources decrease and dependence on food purchases intensifies. From October 2026 to January 2027, the population in need is expected to decline to between 1.5 and 1.99 million.

FEWS NET (2026)

FEWS NET. (2026). Reduced rainfall, high temperatures and market dependence maintain Crisis: Guatemala Food Security Outlook, June 2026-January 2027. https://fews.net/latin-america-and-caribbean/guatemala/food-security-outlook/june-2026

Tag: ElNiño Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Climate_Risks
Country: Guatemala
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Cereals and cereal products Food
Area: Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Rural communities Agricultural workers Agricultural producers
Result: Impact: Food and nutritional security Food access