Evidences
159 results
22% of global agricultural disaster losses are accounted for by the Americas, with losses estimated at USD 713 billion.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
More than 100,000 people in 250 rural communities benefited from anticipatory actions implemented in nine countries during the 2023-2024 El Niño event, with increases of up to 40% in maize and bean production in some Central American countries.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
82% is the probability that El Niño will develop by July 2026, according to a forecast cited by Reuters.
Reuters (2026)
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/us-forecaster-says-el-nino-has-82-chance-developing-by-july-2026-2026-05-14/
1997 was the last time Argentina observed an extreme version of El Niño, associated with intense rainfall, floods, and damage in urban and agricultural areas.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
More than 20% is NOAA’s estimated probability of an extreme version of El Niño occurring, although experts warn that uncertainty remains.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
Nearly 30% was the year-on-year increase in grain harvests during intense El Niño events, such as 1997 and 2014-2016, due to productivity gains.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
60% is the approximate probability assigned by Enfen to a weak El Niño event in Peru during 2026.
Bío Bío Chile (2026)
Bío Bío Chile. (2026, 1 de mayo). Lluvias, sequías y calor extremo: cómo afectará "El Niño Global" a Chile y Perú este año. https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/ciencia-y-tecnologia/medio-ambiente-cyt/2026/05/01/lluvias-sequias-y-calor-extremo-como-afectara-el-nino-global-a-chile-y-peru-este-ano.shtml
11.3% of Guyana's GDP came from agriculture, forestry and fishing in 2023, compared with an average of 12.6% for Latin America and the Caribbean.
Global Green Growth Institute, 2026, p. 13
Global Green Growth Institute. (2026). Guyana's National Drainage and Irrigation Strategy 2030: Enhancing decision making for a resilient, efficient, and sustainable drainage and irrigation system in Guyana.
More than 50% of Guyana's Region 5 is exposed to flood risk, including 29% of its populated and agricultural land.
Global Green Growth Institute, 2026, p. 13-14
Global Green Growth Institute. (2026). Guyana's National Drainage and Irrigation Strategy 2030: Enhancing decision making for a resilient, efficient, and sustainable drainage and irrigation system in Guyana.
More than 50% of GHG emissions come from the agricultural and livestock sector (CAF, 2025).
CAF, 2025
Maris, L. (2025). Hacia un sector agropecuario resiliente, sostenible y regenerativo. CAF – Banco de Desarrollo de América Latina y el Caribe. https://scioteca.caf.com/bitstream/handle/123456789/2512/Hacia%20un%20sector%20agropecuario%20resiliente%2c%20sostenible%20y%20regenerativo.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y