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0.90 metres was the observed level of the Paraguay River at the Asuncion station on 31 August 2026.
Dirección de Meteorología e Hidrología (2026).
Dirección de Meteorología e Hidrología. (2026, agosto 31). Informe hidrometeorológico conjunto del río Paraguay. https://www.meteorologia.gov.py/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Boletin_hidrologico_31ago2026.pdf
3.75 metres was the observed level of the Paraguay River at the Bahia Negra station on 31 August 2026.
Dirección de Meteorología e Hidrología (2026).
Dirección de Meteorología e Hidrología. (2026, agosto 31). Informe hidrometeorológico conjunto del río Paraguay. https://www.meteorologia.gov.py/wp-content/uploads/2026/08/Boletin_hidrologico_31ago2026.pdf
September 7-13, 2026, is forecast to be the driest of the three weeks from September 7 to 27 and the warmest of the four-week outlook period, particularly in Saint-Martin and Saint-Barthélemy.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). Prévision mensuelle du 28 août 2026. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/prevision-mensuelle-du-28-aout-2026
Between +0.5°C and +1.5°C above normal are the temperatures forecast from August 31 to September 27, 2026, in Guadeloupe, Saint-Martin, and Saint-Barthélemy.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). Prévision mensuelle du 28 août 2026. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/prevision-mensuelle-du-28-aout-2026
From August 31 to September 27, 2026, Météo-France forecasts rainfall totals clearly below normal across the Leeward Islands of the Lesser Antilles. From September 7 to 27, the rainfall deficit is expected to range from slight to moderate.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). Prévision mensuelle du 28 août 2026. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/prevision-mensuelle-du-28-aout-2026
43% is the estimated probability of an extraordinary Coastal El Niño in the Niño 1+2 region during the summer from December 2026 to March 2027.
ENFEN (2026)
Comisión Multisectorial encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN). (2026, 28 de agosto). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N.° 15-2026. OPSAa: https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-3022-comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026. Documento original: https://enfen.imarpe.gob.pe/download/comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026/?wpdmdl=2145
62% or higher is the probability that Coastal El Niño will reach extraordinary magnitude in the Niño 1+2 region between September 2026 and January 2027.
ENFEN (2026)
Comisión Multisectorial encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN). (2026, 28 de agosto). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N.° 15-2026. OPSAa: https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-3022-comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026. Documento original: https://enfen.imarpe.gob.pe/download/comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026/?wpdmdl=2145
58% or higher is the probability that El Niño will reach very strong magnitude in the Niño 3.4 region between September 2026 and January 2027.
ENFEN (2026)
Comisión Multisectorial encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN). (2026, 28 de agosto). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N.° 15-2026. OPSAa: https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-3022-comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026. Documento original: https://enfen.imarpe.gob.pe/download/comunicado-oficial-enfen-n-15-2026/?wpdmdl=2145
4 low-intensity, short-lived tropical systems had been observed in the 2026 Atlantic season by August 28; only Tropical Storm Dolly occurred in the main development region. Météo-France links this historically low activity to the strong El Niño and high wind shear.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). El Niño 2026 confirmé comme un épisode exceptionnel. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/el-nino-2026-confirme-comme-un-episode-exceptionnel
In July 2026, the Niño3.4 index exceeded a +2°C sea-surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific, a threshold that Météo-France classifies as strong El Niño intensity.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). El Niño 2026 confirmé comme un épisode exceptionnel. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/el-nino-2026-confirme-comme-un-episode-exceptionnel