Probability of El Niño occurring
82% probability of El Niño emergence between May and July 2026, with an upward trajectory towards a strong event. (World Food Programme, 2026).
(Programa Mundial de Alimentos, 2026)
Programa Mundial de Alimentos
693 results
82% probability of El Niño emergence between May and July 2026, with an upward trajectory towards a strong event. (World Food Programme, 2026).
(Programa Mundial de Alimentos, 2026)
Programa Mundial de Alimentos
17.5 million people (51% of the population) suffer from food insecurity in Peru (World Food Programme, 2026). The El Niño phenomenon acts as a multiplier of this vulnerability to potential crop loss or fishing crisis.
(Programa Mundial de Alimentos, 2026)
Programa Mundial de Alimentos
894,000 migrants and refugees suffer from food insecurity in Peru. (World Food Programme, 2026). The El Niño phenomenon acts as a multiplier of this vulnerability to potential crop loss or fishing crisis.
Programa Mundial de Alimentos, 2026
Programa Mundial de Alimentos
82% is the probability that El Niño will develop by July 2026, according to a forecast cited by Reuters.
Reuters (2026)
https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/us-forecaster-says-el-nino-has-82-chance-developing-by-july-2026-2026-05-14/
167 million people face moderate or severe food insecurity in Latin America and the Caribbean; in addition, more than 33 million suffer from hunger and over 181 million cannot afford a healthy diet.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
22% of global agricultural disaster losses are accounted for by the Americas, with losses estimated at USD 713 billion.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
More than 100,000 people in 250 rural communities benefited from anticipatory actions implemented in nine countries during the 2023-2024 El Niño event, with increases of up to 40% in maize and bean production in some Central American countries.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
In Arauca, Colombia, there are approximately 482,631 hectares dedicated to agricultural activities at risk due to permanent exposure to flooding. (Fundación Cocoras, 2026).
Fundación Cocoras, 2026
Fundación Cocoras
Between 25% and 30% of the 1,345,000 head of cattle are exposed to disease, death and loss of pastures, with the greatest impact in Arauca, Arauquita and Tame, Colombia. (Fundación Corocoras, 2026).
Fundación Corocoras, 2026
Fundación Corocoras
It increased 1.6% from its revised March 2026 level. It averaged 130.7 in April 2026. (FAO, 2026).
FAO, 2026
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura