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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

205 results

El Niño settled in region 3-4

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Paraguay Niño Region 3.4
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Collect, analyze, disseminate and exchange data and information between countries Situation and prospective analysis (regional or international)
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Public institutions
Result: Information generation Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation

Extreme rains could reach 200 mm

19/06/2026 Go to Evidence

200 millimeters of rain in a single day may occur during localized extreme events associated with El Niño in Paraguay, creating problems for production.

ABC Color (2026)

ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Floods
Country: Paraguay
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Strengthened water resources management

El Niño exceeds ocean threshold

11/06/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 0.5 °C was the weekly average sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific, the main threshold used to identify El Niño conditions.

AccuWeather (2026)

AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Niño Region 3.4 World (aggregate)
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Result: Information generation Risk mitigation

Super El Niño risk

11/06/2026 Go to Evidence

30-40% is AccuWeather’s estimated probability that the event could evolve into a rare “Super El Niño”, with conditions potentially lasting through 2026 and even into 2027.

AccuWeather (2026)

AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: World (aggregate) Niño Region 3.4
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Result: Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience Information generation Impact: Food and nutritional security

Fewer Atlantic named storms

11/06/2026 Go to Evidence

11 to 16 named storms are projected by AccuWeather for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season; with El Niño arriving early, the forecast is leaning closer to 11 than to 16.

AccuWeather (2026)

AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Hurricanes
Country: World (aggregate) United States America, North (aggregate)
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Result: Risk mitigation Information generation

3 billion more people exposed to water stress

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

3 billion additional people could be exposed to water stress by 2050 when water quality is incorporated into water scarcity assessments.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026):

Tag: Floods Climate_Risks Droughts
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-environmental Environment and natural resources Agricultural Support Services
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Policy to Improve Data and Information Access and Management Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Improved water quality Information generation Strengthened water resources management Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience

USD 1.1 billion in agricultural losses

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

USD 1.1 billion in estimated economic losses were recorded for California's agricultural sector during the 2021 drought.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026)

Tag: Floods Climate_Risks Droughts
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-environmental Environment and natural resources Agricultural Support Services
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Policy to Improve Data and Information Access and Management Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Information generation Strengthened water resources management Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience

21% reduction in wheat yields due to drought

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

21% is the average reduction in wheat yields caused by mild drought conditions; rice yields decrease by 17% on average.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026)

Tag: Floods Climate_Risks Droughts
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-environmental Environment and natural resources Agricultural Support Services
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Policy to Improve Data and Information Access and Management Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Improved water quality Information generation Strengthened water resources management Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience

21% of inland wetlands has been lost

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

21% of the world's inland wetlands has been lost since 1700, representing approximately 3.4 million km².

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026),

Tag: Floods Climate_Risks Droughts
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-environmental Environment and natural resources Agricultural Support Services
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Policy to Improve Data and Information Access and Management Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Improved water quality Information generation Strengthened water resources management Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience

10% of agricultural land faces waterlogging

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

10% of global agricultural land is affected by waterlogging or severe drainage constraints, reducing crop growth and agricultural productivity.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026)

Tag: ClimateSmartAgriculture Climate_Risks Droughts
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Agri-environmental Environment and natural resources Agricultural Support Services
Area: Territorial Management Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Policy to Improve Data and Information Access and Management Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Improved water quality Information generation Strengthened water resources management Risk mitigation Impact: Climate risk resilience