Evidences
160 results
Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/
For the Niño 1+2 region, the Coastal Niño would extend until the summer of 2027. The event is expected to reach a magnitude between strong (48%) and moderate (46%). (Multisectoral Commission in Charge of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon, 2026).
Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño. (2026). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N° 11-2026.
Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN)
In the Niño 3.4 region (central equatorial Pacific), El Niño would develop from June 2026 to March 2027. For the summer of 2026-2027, the event is estimated to reach a magnitude between strong (44%) and moderate (36%). (Multisectoral Commission in Charge of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon, 2026).
Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño. (2026). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N° 11-2026.
Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN)
COP 67.272 billion was enabled by Colombia to subsidize the purchase of agricultural insurance through the Agricultural Insurance Incentive as a preventive measure against El Niño.
OPSAa (2026)
OPSAa. (2026, 28 de mayo). Colombia: Subsidios por fenómeno de El Niño habilitarán $67.272 millones para adquirir seguros agropecuarios. https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-2792-colombia-subsidios-por-fenomeno-de-el-nino-habilitaran-67272-millones-para-adquirir-seguros-agropecuarios
There is a 61% probability that El Niño will develop between May and July 2026 (IDB, 2026).
Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. (2026, mayo). El Niño 2026–2027: cómo prepararse mejor en América Latina y el Caribe. Blog Naturaleza, clima y riesgo de desastres. https://www.iadb.org/es/blog/naturaleza-clima-y-riesgo-de-desastres/el-nino-2026-2027-como-prepararse-mejor-en-america-latina-y-el-caribe
Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. (2026, mayo)
In recent weeks, the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region has been close to +0.9 °C, indicating an El Niño phase. During El Niño, Guyana experiences below-average rainfall and above-average temperatures. (Guyana Hydrometeorological Survey, 2026).
Servicio Hidrometeorológico de Guyana, 2026
Servicio Hidrometeorológico de Guyana
82% probability of El Niño emergence between May and July 2026, with an upward trajectory towards a strong event. (World Food Programme, 2026).
(Programa Mundial de Alimentos, 2026)
Programa Mundial de Alimentos
22% of global agricultural disaster losses are accounted for by the Americas, with losses estimated at USD 713 billion.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
More than 100,000 people in 250 rural communities benefited from anticipatory actions implemented in nine countries during the 2023-2024 El Niño event, with increases of up to 40% in maize and bean production in some Central American countries.
World Food Programme (2026)
World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino
More than 20% is NOAA’s estimated probability of an extreme version of El Niño occurring, although experts warn that uncertainty remains.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
