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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

409 results

100,000 people supported

14/05/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 100,000 people in 250 rural communities benefited from anticipatory actions implemented in nine countries during the 2023-2024 El Niño event, with increases of up to 40% in maize and bean production in some Central American countries.

World Food Programme (2026)

World Food Programme. (2026, May 14). United Nations: Latin America and the Caribbean faces increased food insecurity risks due to El Niño. https://www.wfp.org/news/united-nations-latin-america-and-caribbean-faces-increased-food-insecurity-risks-due-el-nino

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Regional_Cooperation Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition
Country: Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate) Central America
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Cereals and cereal products Agricultural Support Services
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Family Farming Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems International technical cooperation Internacional humanitarian and Development Assistance
Beneficiary: Rural communities Family agriculture Agricultural producers Public institutions
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Improved productivity Strengthened water resources management Impact: Food and nutritional security

Food prices rise third month

08/05/2026 Go to Evidence

130.7 points was the FAO Food Price Index in April 2026, up 1.6% from March and 2.0% from April 2025.

FAO (2026)

FAO. (2026, 8 de mayo). El Índice de precios de los alimentos de la FAO sube por tercer mes consecutivo. https://www.fao.org/markets-and-trade/news-and-events/news-detail/fao-food-price-index-up-for-third-consecutive-month-largely-on-rising-vegetable-oil-prices/es

Tag: Food_Inflation Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Geopolitics
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Food Agri-Food (total)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Consumers Agricultural producers
Result: Food affordability Improved market efficiency Impact: Food and nutritional security

Extreme El Niño exceeds 20%

02/05/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 20% is NOAA’s estimated probability of an extreme version of El Niño occurring, although experts warn that uncertainty remains.

Avramow (2026)

Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: Argentina Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate) Americas (aggregate)
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total) Multisectoral
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Prospective studies (forecasting) Studies and diagnoses Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Extreme El Niño last seen in 1997

02/05/2026 Go to Evidence

1997 was the last time Argentina observed an extreme version of El Niño, associated with intense rainfall, floods, and damage in urban and agricultural areas.

Avramow (2026)

Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Floods Droughts
Country: Argentina
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total) Multisectoral
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation

Harvests rose nearly 30%

02/05/2026 Go to Evidence

Nearly 30% was the year-on-year increase in grain harvests during intense El Niño events, such as 1997 and 2014-2016, due to productivity gains.

Avramow (2026)

Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Argentina Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Cereals and cereal products Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers
Result: Improved productivity Impact: Climate risk resilience Profitability

Weak El Niño has 60%

01/05/2026 Go to Evidence

60% is the approximate probability assigned by Enfen to a weak El Niño event in Peru during 2026.

Bío Bío Chile (2026)

Bío Bío Chile. (2026, 1 de mayo). Lluvias, sequías y calor extremo: cómo afectará "El Niño Global" a Chile y Perú este año. https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/ciencia-y-tecnologia/medio-ambiente-cyt/2026/05/01/lluvias-sequias-y-calor-extremo-como-afectara-el-nino-global-a-chile-y-peru-este-ano.shtml

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Outlook-2025-2026
Country: Peru
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources Agri-environmental
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Natural gas price increase

08/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Natural gas prices, the main input for fertilizers, increased by up to 50%, driving up the cost of the sector (Agrolatam, 2026).

Agrolatam. (2026). Fertilizer prices surge in U.S. as urea jumps 34% ahead of planting.

Agrolatam

Tag: Armed_Conflict Geopolitics
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Agrifood Context Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Agricultural producers

Dependence on imports

06/04/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 80% of the fertilizers used in Latin America are imported, which increases regional vulnerability to external shocks (Mundoagro, 2026).

Mundoagro. (2026). El impacto por región y los riesgos de la crisis global de fertilizantes para la fruticultura. https://mundoagro.io/cl/el-impacto-por-region-y-los-riesgos-de-la-crisis-global-de-fertilizantes-para-la-fruticultura/

Mundoagro. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers