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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

2.554 results

Food prices rise third month

08/05/2026 Go to Evidence

130.7 points was the FAO Food Price Index in April 2026, up 1.6% from March and 2.0% from April 2025.

FAO (2026)

FAO. (2026, 8 de mayo). El Índice de precios de los alimentos de la FAO sube por tercer mes consecutivo. https://www.fao.org/markets-and-trade/news-and-events/news-detail/fao-food-price-index-up-for-third-consecutive-month-largely-on-rising-vegetable-oil-prices/es

Tag: Food_Inflation Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Geopolitics
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Food Agri-Food (total)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Consumers Agricultural producers
Result: Food affordability Improved market efficiency Impact: Food and nutritional security

Vegetable oils rise 5.9%

08/05/2026 Go to Evidence

5.9% was the increase in the FAO Vegetable Oil Price Index in April 2026 from March, reaching its highest level since July 2022.

FAO (2026)

FAO. (2026, 8 de mayo). El Índice de precios de los alimentos de la FAO sube por tercer mes consecutivo. https://www.fao.org/markets-and-trade/news-and-events/news-detail/fao-food-price-index-up-for-third-consecutive-month-largely-on-rising-vegetable-oil-prices/es

Extreme El Niño exceeds 20%

02/05/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 20% is NOAA’s estimated probability of an extreme version of El Niño occurring, although experts warn that uncertainty remains.

Avramow (2026)

Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: Argentina Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate) Americas (aggregate)
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total) Multisectoral
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Prospective studies (forecasting) Studies and diagnoses Early warning systems
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Extreme El Niño last seen in 1997

02/05/2026 Go to Evidence

1997 was the last time Argentina observed an extreme version of El Niño, associated with intense rainfall, floods, and damage in urban and agricultural areas.

Avramow (2026)

Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Floods Droughts
Country: Argentina
Sector: Environment and natural resources Agri-Food (total) Multisectoral
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation

Harvests rose nearly 30%

02/05/2026 Go to Evidence

Nearly 30% was the year-on-year increase in grain harvests during intense El Niño events, such as 1997 and 2014-2016, due to productivity gains.

Avramow (2026)

Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks
Country: Argentina Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Cereals and cereal products Environment and natural resources
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Studies and diagnoses Prospective studies (forecasting)
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers
Result: Improved productivity Impact: Climate risk resilience Profitability

Weak El Niño has 60%

01/05/2026 Go to Evidence

60% is the approximate probability assigned by Enfen to a weak El Niño event in Peru during 2026.

Bío Bío Chile (2026)

Bío Bío Chile. (2026, 1 de mayo). Lluvias, sequías y calor extremo: cómo afectará "El Niño Global" a Chile y Perú este año. https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/ciencia-y-tecnologia/medio-ambiente-cyt/2026/05/01/lluvias-sequias-y-calor-extremo-como-afectara-el-nino-global-a-chile-y-peru-este-ano.shtml

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Outlook-2025-2026
Country: Peru
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources Agri-environmental
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Moderate El Niño reaches 80%

01/05/2026 Go to Evidence

80% is the estimated probability of a moderate El Niño developing in Peru during this cycle, according to the Enfen commission.

Bío Bío Chile (2026)

Bío Bío Chile. (2026, 1 de mayo). Lluvias, sequías y calor extremo: cómo afectará "El Niño Global" a Chile y Perú este año. https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/ciencia-y-tecnologia/medio-ambiente-cyt/2026/05/01/lluvias-sequias-y-calor-extremo-como-afectara-el-nino-global-a-chile-y-peru-este-ano.shtml