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More than 50 consecutive days of record-high ocean surface temperatures increased the risk of altered rainfall, droughts, floods and heatwaves affecting agricultural production.
AgroLatam.com (2026)
AgroLatam.com. (2026, 26 de julio). ¿Cómo impacta el récord de calor en los océanos al agro? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/record-calor-oceanos-impacto-agricultura-clima-2026/
87.5 million people were affected in contexts where extreme weather events predominated as the main driver of acute food insecurity.
FAO, WFP y GNAFC (2026)
FAO, WFP, & GNAFC. (2026). 2026 Global Report on Food Crises: Joint analysis for better decisions. Rome: FAO & WFP. https://www.wfp.org/publications/global-report-food-crises-grfc
2 economic protection mechanisms, market diversification and agricultural insurance, are included in the plan to prevent price declines and facilitate the recovery of affected producers' investments.
Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)
Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/
4 productive sectors, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture and fisheries, have differentiated preventive measures under Ecuador's Contingency Plan for the possible occurrence of El Niño.
Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)
Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
25% of cherry production was lost during the 2023-24 El Niño, especially in early varieties, according to the source.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.
OPSAa (2026)
OPSAa. (2026, 20 de junio). Brasil moviliza 20 ministerios para enfrentar el impacto de El Niño. https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-2787-brasil-moviliza-20-ministerios-para-enfrentar-el-impacto-de-el-nino
Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/
September onward is the period when Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock expects El Niño could have a significant impact, coinciding with the start of the rainy season.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/