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Evidences

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Central America rainfall at 30-60% of average

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

Between April 1 and August 20, 2026, the Pacific coastal areas of Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua received only 30-60% of their average seasonal rainfall, ranking among the driest such periods since the CHIRPS record began in 1981.

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning (2026)

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning. (2026, September 3). Crop Monitor for Early Warning (No. 119). https://www.cropmonitor.org/crop-monitor-for-early-warning

1 million Hondurans hit by drought

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

An estimated 1 million people in Honduras are facing water shortages and crop and livestock losses due to the prolonged 2026 drought, according to an emergency assessment (DREF) cited in the August 2026 report.

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning (2026)

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning. (2026, September 3). Crop Monitor for Early Warning (No. 119). https://www.cropmonitor.org/crop-monitor-for-early-warning

Guatemala drought affects 236,447 families

28/08/2026 Go to Evidence

The drought that El Nino is intensifying across Central America has left 236,447 Guatemalan families affected, according to the National Food and Nutrition Security Council (CONASAN), reported at its extraordinary meeting on August 28, 2026, which is evaluating raising the alert level to orange or red to activate the National Response Plan.

SESAN Guatemala - CONASAN (2026)

Secretaria de Seguridad Alimentaria y Nutricional (SESAN). (2026, August 28). CONASAN en alerta: sequia pone en riesgo cultivos, agua y economia familiar. https://portal.sesan.gob.gt/2026/08/28/conasan-en-alerta-sequia-pone-en-riesgo-cultivos-agua-y-economia-familiar/

Guatemala: drought hits 138 municipalities

28/08/2026 Go to Evidence

The strengthening El Nino across Central America - on track to be one of the strongest events since 1950 in 2026 - has driven Guatemala's worst drought of the season: 52 consecutive days without rain that have already caused crop losses in 138 of the country's municipalities, according to the Executive Secretariat for Disaster Reduction (SE-CONRED), reported at CONASAN's extraordinary meeting on August 28, 2026.

SESAN Guatemala - CONASAN (2026)

Secretaria de Seguridad Alimentaria y Nutricional (SESAN). (2026, August 28). CONASAN en alerta: sequia pone en riesgo cultivos, agua y economia familiar. https://portal.sesan.gob.gt/2026/08/28/conasan-en-alerta-sequia-pone-en-riesgo-cultivos-agua-y-economia-familiar/

Crisis food insecurity remains widespread

From July 2026 to January 2027, FEWS NET projects widespread Crisis, IPC Phase 3, outcomes across Haiti, while some households will continue to face Emergency, IPC Phase 4, outcomes in the worst-affected areas. The most severe conditions are expected at internally displaced person sites in the Port-au-Prince Metropolitan Area, Lower Artibonite, and some communes of Centre and Nord-Ouest.

FEWS NET (2026)

FEWS NET. (2026). Haiti Key Message Update July 2026–January 2027: Conflict and elevated prices continue to restrict access to food in Haïti. https://fews.net/latin-america-and-caribbean/haiti/key-message-update/july-2026

Up to 350 mm of rain in 15-30 days

21/08/2026 Go to Evidence

70-150 mm of rain was forecast for the following 15-30 days across several regions of Mexico, with local totals of 200-350 mm, mainly in mountainous areas.

Cortés (2026).

Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette

Drought reaches 3.5% of Mexico

21/08/2026 Go to Evidence

3.5% of Mexican territory was affected by drought as of August 15, 2026, up from 2.7%; affected municipalities increased from 96 to 145.

Cortés (2026).

Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette

National August-2026 rainfall deficit

21/08/2026 Go to Evidence

51.1 mm of rain accumulated in Mexico through August 19, 2026, which was 26.1 mm below the usual amount.

Cortés (2026).

Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette

Three products may retain preferences

3 agricultural products, coffee, beef and peanuts, would retain preferential treatment under the new tariff imposed by the United States on Nicaraguan exports.

AgroLatam.com (s. f.)

AgroLatam.com. (s. f.). ¿Cómo impactará el nuevo arancel de EE. UU. a Nicaragua? https://www.agrolatam.com/actualidad-latam/arancel-estados-unidos-nicaragua-exportaciones-impacto-agro/

US to impose a 12.5% tariff

A 12.5% tariff will be imposed by the United States on part of Nicaragua's exports, increasing pressure on competitiveness and access to the country's main market.

AgroLatam.com (s. f.)

AgroLatam.com. (s. f.). ¿Cómo impactará el nuevo arancel de EE. UU. a Nicaragua? https://www.agrolatam.com/actualidad-latam/arancel-estados-unidos-nicaragua-exportaciones-impacto-agro/