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Evidences

693 results

Availability of blue food in LAC (2023)

16/06/2026 Go to Evidence

In 2023, the average per capita availability of aquatic foods (blue foods) in Latin America was 10.1 kg. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).

Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura (2026). América Latina y el Caribe registra un superávit comercial de 21.000 millones de dólares en animales acuáticos.

Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura

Probability of El Niño magnitude (region 1+2)

15/06/2026 Go to Evidence

For the Niño 1+2 region, the Coastal Niño would extend until the summer of 2027. The event is expected to reach a magnitude between strong (48%) and moderate (46%). (Multisectoral Commission in Charge of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon, 2026).

Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño. (2026). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N° 11-2026.

Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN)

Probability of El Niño magnitude (region 3.4)

15/06/2026 Go to Evidence

In the Niño 3.4 region (central equatorial Pacific), El Niño would develop from June 2026 to March 2027. For the summer of 2026-2027, the event is estimated to reach a magnitude between strong (44%) and moderate (36%). (Multisectoral Commission in Charge of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon, 2026).

Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño. (2026). Comunicado Oficial ENFEN N° 11-2026.

Comisión Multisectorial Encargada del Estudio Nacional del Fenómeno El Niño (ENFEN)

El Niño exceeds ocean threshold

11/06/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 0.5 °C was the weekly average sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific, the main threshold used to identify El Niño conditions.

AccuWeather (2026)

AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html

Fewer Atlantic named storms

11/06/2026 Go to Evidence

11 to 16 named storms are projected by AccuWeather for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season; with El Niño arriving early, the forecast is leaning closer to 11 than to 16.

AccuWeather (2026)

AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html

Super El Niño risk

11/06/2026 Go to Evidence

30-40% is AccuWeather’s estimated probability that the event could evolve into a rare “Super El Niño”, with conditions potentially lasting through 2026 and even into 2027.

AccuWeather (2026)

AccuWeather. (2026, June 5). Latest analysis shows El Niño has arrived, official declaration may be imminent. https://www.yahoo.com/news/weather-news/articles/el-ni-o-under-way-130132633.html

10% of agricultural land faces waterlogging

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

10% of global agricultural land is affected by waterlogging or severe drainage constraints, reducing crop growth and agricultural productivity.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026)

4.3% global reduction in rice yields

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

4.3% was the average reduction in global annual rice yields between 1980 and 2015 due to flooding; losses reached 14% along China's eastern coast.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en

OECD (2026),

60% of irrigated cropland faces high water stress

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 60% of irrigated cropland experiences high water stress, while 11% of rainfed cropland and 14% of pastureland are affected by frequent droughts.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026),

21% reduction in wheat yields due to drought

10/06/2026 Go to Evidence

21% is the average reduction in wheat yields caused by mild drought conditions; rice yields decrease by 17% on average.

OECD (2026), “Anticipating and monitoring water risks for agriculture”, OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, No. 226, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi.org/10.1787/24939e6a-en.

OECD (2026)