Evidences
239 results
Approximately 64% of the region's capture fisheries production in 2024 came from the Southeast Pacific. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura. (2026). El estado mundial de la pesca y la acuicultura 2026 - América Latina y el Caribe.
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura (FAO)
Between 4.0 and 4.99 million people are expected to need humanitarian food assistance in Colombia during the projection period through January 2027 as the negative impacts of El Niño increasingly affect livelihoods. La Guajira and Chocó are expected to remain in Crisis, IPC Phase 3, due to weather shocks, localized insecurity, reduced production and income, and prices rising above general inflation.
FEWS NET (2026)
FEWS NET. (2026). Múltiples choques impulsan resultados de Crisis (Fase 3, CIF) en La Guajira y Chocó: Perspectiva de seguridad alimentaria, junio de 2026-enero de 2027. https://fews.net/es/latin-america-and-caribbean/colombia/perspectiva-de-seguridad-alimentaria/junio-2026
Between 2.0 and 2.49 million people will need food assistance in Guatemala from June to September 2026, reaching the upper end of the range between July and August as food stocks decline, income sources decrease and dependence on food purchases intensifies. From October 2026 to January 2027, the population in need is expected to decline to between 1.5 and 1.99 million.
FEWS NET (2026)
FEWS NET. (2026). Reduced rainfall, high temperatures and market dependence maintain Crisis: Guatemala Food Security Outlook, June 2026-January 2027. https://fews.net/latin-america-and-caribbean/guatemala/food-security-outlook/june-2026
25% of cherry production was lost during the 2023-24 El Niño, especially in early varieties, according to the source.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
After a sharp decline linked to the 2023 El Niño phenomenon, the anchovy (Engraulis ringens) recovered remarkably in 2024, with catches increasing by almost 65%, from 3.5 million tons to 5.7 million tons. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura (2026). América Latina y el Caribe registra un superávit comercial de 21.000 millones de dólares en animales acuáticos
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura
Latin America and the Caribbean consolidated their position as one of the world's leading net exporters of aquatic animal products, registering a trade surplus of $21 billion in 2024. (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2026).
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura. (2026).
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura (FAO). América Latina y el Caribe registra un superávit comercial de 21.000 millones de dólares en animales acuáticos.
Nearly 30% was the year-on-year increase in grain harvests during intense El Niño events, such as 1997 and 2014-2016, due to productivity gains.
Avramow (2026)
Avramow, M. (2026, 2 de mayo). La opinión y cautela de los expertos ante la probabilidad de que se desarrolle una versión extrema de El Niño en la Argentina. La Nación. https://www.lanacion.com.ar/sociedad/la-opinion-y-cautela-de-los-expertos-ante-la-probabilidad-de-que-se-desarrolle-una-version-extrema-nid02052026/
Climate models indicate the 2026 El Niño could be the strongest on record. It is estimated 50% chance of a "strong" or "very strong" event during the upcoming Northern Hemisphere winter. Some models project global temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C (Alessi,2026)
(Alessi,2026)
Alessi, M. (2026, abril 21). Terrible team: Super El Niño and climate change could lead to record-breaking global temperatures. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://blog.ucs.org/marc-alessi/terrible-team-super-el-nino-and-climate-change-could-lead-to-record-breaking-global-temperatures/
26% of climate disaster damages in LAC are absorbed by the agricultural sector on average, rising to 82% during droughts; equatorial Pacific warming also severely impacts Caribbean coastal fisheries (Castellanos, 2026).
(Castellanos, 2026)
Salazar Castellanos, D. (2026, abril 20). Fenómeno de El Niño: mapa de cultivos y países de América Latina que tendrían mayores riesgos en 2026. Bloomberg Línea. https://www.bloomberglinea.com/economia/fenomeno-de-el-nino-mapa-de-cultivos-y-paises-de-america-latina-que-tendrian-mayores-riesgos-en-2026/
