45% of sulfur, an essential raw material for phosphate fertilizers, passes through the Strait of Hormuz.
Agrodigital (2026)
Agrodigital. (2026, 22 de junio). El cierre de Ormuz aplaza el alivio esperado para los fertilizantes. https://agrodigital.com/2026/06/22/cierre-ormuz-fertilizantes-agro/
EUR 5.6 billion is the approximate size of Spain’s agricultural inputs market at farm-gate prices, especially exposed to volatility from the closure of Hormuz.
Agrodigital (2026)
Agrodigital. (2026, 22 de junio). El cierre de Ormuz aplaza el alivio esperado para los fertilizantes. https://agrodigital.com/2026/06/22/cierre-ormuz-fertilizantes-agro/
30% was the decline in global fertilizer trade by volume during the first four months of 2026 due to the war in the Middle East, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and export restrictions.
RFI (2026)
RFI. (2026, 20 de junio). La FAO alerta que el comercio de fertilizantes cayó un 30% por la guerra en Oriente Medio. https://www.rfi.fr/es/m%C3%A1s-noticias/20260620-la-fao-alerta-que-el-comercio-de-fertilizantes-cay%C3%B3-un-30-por-la-guerra-en-oriente-medio
20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.
OPSAa (2026)
OPSAa. (2026, 20 de junio). Brasil moviliza 20 ministerios para enfrentar el impacto de El Niño. https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-2787-brasil-moviliza-20-ministerios-para-enfrentar-el-impacto-de-el-nino
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
25% of cherry production was lost during the 2023-24 El Niño, especially in early varieties, according to the source.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
September onward is the period when Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock expects El Niño could have a significant impact, coinciding with the start of the rainy season.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/
200 millimeters of rain in a single day may occur during localized extreme events associated with El Niño in Paraguay, creating problems for production.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/
Region 3-4 of the Pacific Ocean is where Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock states El Niño has already settled, with direct impact expected on Paraguay.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/
