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65% of agrifood companies in Latin America and the Caribbean identify high logistics and transportation costs as the main barrier to growth and participation in international trade.
(BID, 2026)
Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID)
In recent weeks, the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region was close to +0.5 °C, that is, at the limit of the El Niño phase. (Guyana Hydrometeorological Survey, 2026).
Servicio Hidrometeorológico de Guyana, 2026
Servicio Hidrometeorológico de Guyana
Climate models indicate the 2026 El Niño could be the strongest on record. It is estimated 50% chance of a "strong" or "very strong" event during the upcoming Northern Hemisphere winter. Some models project global temperature anomalies exceeding +2°C (Alessi,2026)
(Alessi,2026)
Alessi, M. (2026, abril 21). Terrible team: Super El Niño and climate change could lead to record-breaking global temperatures. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://blog.ucs.org/marc-alessi/terrible-team-super-el-nino-and-climate-change-could-lead-to-record-breaking-global-temperatures/
0.6 to 1.7 percentage points of GDP could be lost by Andean countries due to El Niño, impacting agriculture, hydroelectric energy, and logistics, with the agricultural sector absorbing up to 82% of drought damages (Castellanos, 2026).
(Castellanos, 2026)
Salazar Castellanos, D. (2026, abril 20). Fenómeno de El Niño: mapa de cultivos y países de América Latina que tendrían mayores riesgos en 2026. Bloomberg Línea. https://www.bloomberglinea.com/economia/fenomeno-de-el-nino-mapa-de-cultivos-y-paises-de-america-latina-que-tendrian-mayores-riesgos-en-2026/
100 million people in LAC face water scarcity despite the region holding 34% of the planet's renewable freshwater (FAO, 2026).
(FAO,2026)
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura (FAO). (2026, abril 20). La FAO y CEPAL advierten que América Latina y el Caribe enfrenta una crisis hídrica que afecta a más de 100 millones de personas. https://www.fao.org/americas/news/news-detail/crisis-hidrica/es
The World Bank Group’s fertilizer index is projected to increase by 31% (y/y) in 2026. (Banco Mundial, 2026).
World Bank Group. (2026). April 2026 - Commodity Markets Outlook,
Banco Mundial
52% of the population in Haiti are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC, 2026)
Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (2026)
Integrated Food Security Phase Classification
19% of 2030 Agenda targets will be met by LAC at the current pace — down from 23% the prior year — with 39% stagnant or regressing compared to 2015 (CEPAL, 2026).
(CEPAL, 2026)
Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL). (2026). Al ritmo actual, América Latina y el Caribe solo cumpliría el 19% de las metas de la Agenda 2030. https://www.cepal.org
45% of Caribbean SDG targets are stagnant or regressing, making it the lowest-performing subregion (13%) versus 19% in South America and 18% in Central America (CEPAL, 2026).
(CEPAL, 2026)
Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL). (2026). Al ritmo actual, América Latina y el Caribe solo cumpliría el 19% de las metas de la Agenda 2030. https://www.cepal.org
45 million additional people could fall into acute hunger if the Iran war persists, with the Caribbean among the most vulnerable regions due to food import dependence and El Niño drought threats (The Guardian, 2026).
(The Guardian, 2026)
The Guardian. (2026, abril 13). El Niño explainer. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/13/el-nino-explainer