205 results
In July 2026, the Niño3.4 index exceeded a +2°C sea-surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial Pacific, a threshold that Météo-France classifies as strong El Niño intensity.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). El Niño 2026 confirmé comme un épisode exceptionnel. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/el-nino-2026-confirme-comme-un-episode-exceptionnel
Among the most intense episodes observed since 1950 could be the 2026 El Niño: six-month seasonal forecasts indicate that the Niño3.4 index will continue rising and peak in late 2026, potentially reaching very strong intensity.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). El Niño 2026 confirmé comme un épisode exceptionnel. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/el-nino-2026-confirme-comme-un-episode-exceptionnel
From August 31 to September 27, 2026, Météo-France forecasts rainfall totals clearly below normal across the Leeward Islands of the Lesser Antilles. From September 7 to 27, the rainfall deficit is expected to range from slight to moderate.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). Prévision mensuelle du 28 août 2026. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/prevision-mensuelle-du-28-aout-2026
Between +0.5°C and +1.5°C above normal are the temperatures forecast from August 31 to September 27, 2026, in Guadeloupe, Saint-Martin, and Saint-Barthélemy.
Météo-France (2026)
Météo-France. (2026, August 28). Prévision mensuelle du 28 août 2026. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/prevision-mensuelle-du-28-aout-2026
The strengthening El Nino across Central America - on track to be one of the strongest events since 1950 in 2026 - has driven Guatemala's worst drought of the season: 52 consecutive days without rain that have already caused crop losses in 138 of the country's municipalities, according to the Executive Secretariat for Disaster Reduction (SE-CONRED), reported at CONASAN's extraordinary meeting on August 28, 2026.
SESAN Guatemala - CONASAN (2026)
Secretaria de Seguridad Alimentaria y Nutricional (SESAN). (2026, August 28). CONASAN en alerta: sequia pone en riesgo cultivos, agua y economia familiar. https://portal.sesan.gob.gt/2026/08/28/conasan-en-alerta-sequia-pone-en-riesgo-cultivos-agua-y-economia-familiar/
68% was the reduction in output from the Haina-Manoguayabo aqueduct; output from the Isabela aqueduct fell 65%, while the Isa-Mana and Duey systems fell by more than 60%.
Granero del Sur (2026).
Granero del Sur. (2026, 22 de agosto). Fenómeno atmosférico El Niño afecta RD, baja el nivel de las presas. https://elgranerodelsur.com/2026/08/22/fenomeno-atmosferico-el-nino-rd-afecta-rd-baja-el-nivel-de-las-presas/
66.57% was represented by the 1,343.89 million cubic meters of water stored in Dominican Republic reservoirs on August 21, 2026, according to INDRHI data.
Granero del Sur (2026).
Granero del Sur. (2026, 22 de agosto). Fenómeno atmosférico El Niño afecta RD, baja el nivel de las presas. https://elgranerodelsur.com/2026/08/22/fenomeno-atmosferico-el-nino-rd-afecta-rd-baja-el-nivel-de-las-presas/
54.5% was the rainfall deficit recorded in the Dominican Republic in June 2026; the deficit was 46.0% in May and 45.3% in July, according to an Indomet report.
Granero del Sur (2026).
Granero del Sur. (2026, 22 de agosto). Fenómeno atmosférico El Niño afecta RD, baja el nivel de las presas. https://elgranerodelsur.com/2026/08/22/fenomeno-atmosferico-el-nino-rd-afecta-rd-baja-el-nivel-de-las-presas/
COP 47 billion was the estimated loss to the Colombian livestock sector between June 1 and August 1: COP 27 billion from animal deaths, COP 11 billion from reduced production of meat, milk and dairy products, and COP 9 billion from animal relocation, according to figures compiled by Fedegán.
El Colombiano (2026)
El Colombiano. (2026, 21 de agosto). El Niño deja pérdidas por $47.000 millones al sector ganadero: casi 10.000 animales han muerto. https://www.elcolombiano.com/negocios/el-nino-perdidas-sector-ganadero-47-mil-millones-PA40156090
70-150 mm of rain was forecast for the following 15-30 days across several regions of Mexico, with local totals of 200-350 mm, mainly in mountainous areas.
Cortés (2026).
Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette