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Evidences

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Lesser Antilles: Up to +1.5°C in September

28/08/2026 Go to Evidence

Between +0.5°C and +1.5°C above normal are the temperatures forecast from August 31 to September 27, 2026, in Guadeloupe, Saint-Martin, and Saint-Barthélemy.

Météo-France (2026)

Météo-France. (2026, August 28). Prévision mensuelle du 28 août 2026. Météo-France Guadeloupe. https://meteofrance.gp/fr/climat/prevision-mensuelle-du-28-aout-2026

Rainfall deficit exceeds 54%

22/08/2026 Go to Evidence

54.5% was the rainfall deficit recorded in the Dominican Republic in June 2026; the deficit was 46.0% in May and 45.3% in July, according to an Indomet report.

Granero del Sur (2026).

Granero del Sur. (2026, 22 de agosto). Fenómeno atmosférico El Niño afecta RD, baja el nivel de las presas. https://elgranerodelsur.com/2026/08/22/fenomeno-atmosferico-el-nino-rd-afecta-rd-baja-el-nivel-de-las-presas/

National reservoirs at 66.57%

22/08/2026 Go to Evidence

66.57% was represented by the 1,343.89 million cubic meters of water stored in Dominican Republic reservoirs on August 21, 2026, according to INDRHI data.

Granero del Sur (2026).

Granero del Sur. (2026, 22 de agosto). Fenómeno atmosférico El Niño afecta RD, baja el nivel de las presas. https://elgranerodelsur.com/2026/08/22/fenomeno-atmosferico-el-nino-rd-afecta-rd-baja-el-nivel-de-las-presas/

Aqueduct output falls by up to 68%

22/08/2026 Go to Evidence

68% was the reduction in output from the Haina-Manoguayabo aqueduct; output from the Isabela aqueduct fell 65%, while the Isa-Mana and Duey systems fell by more than 60%.

Granero del Sur (2026).

Granero del Sur. (2026, 22 de agosto). Fenómeno atmosférico El Niño afecta RD, baja el nivel de las presas. https://elgranerodelsur.com/2026/08/22/fenomeno-atmosferico-el-nino-rd-afecta-rd-baja-el-nivel-de-las-presas/

Drought reaches 3.5% of Mexico

21/08/2026 Go to Evidence

3.5% of Mexican territory was affected by drought as of August 15, 2026, up from 2.7%; affected municipalities increased from 96 to 145.

Cortés (2026).

Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette

Up to 350 mm of rain in 15-30 days

21/08/2026 Go to Evidence

70-150 mm of rain was forecast for the following 15-30 days across several regions of Mexico, with local totals of 200-350 mm, mainly in mountainous areas.

Cortés (2026).

Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette

National August-2026 rainfall deficit

21/08/2026 Go to Evidence

51.1 mm of rain accumulated in Mexico through August 19, 2026, which was 26.1 mm below the usual amount.

Cortés (2026).

Cortés, J. M. (2026, 21 de agosto). Se intensifica la sequía en México: déficit de lluvias por Canícula y El Niño, previo a torrenciales precipitaciones. Meteored. https://www.meteored.mx/noticias/prediccion/se-intensifica-la-sequia-en-mexico-deficit-de-lluvias-por-canicula-y-el-nino-previo-a-torrenciales-precipitaciones-verano-clima-huracan-otono.html#google_vignette