Evidences
160 results
87.5 million people were affected in contexts where extreme weather events predominated as the main driver of acute food insecurity.
FAO, WFP y GNAFC (2026)
FAO, WFP, & GNAFC. (2026). 2026 Global Report on Food Crises: Joint analysis for better decisions. Rome: FAO & WFP. https://www.wfp.org/publications/global-report-food-crises-grfc
4 productive sectors, agriculture, livestock, aquaculture and fisheries, have differentiated preventive measures under Ecuador's Contingency Plan for the possible occurrence of El Niño.
Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca (2026)
Ministerio de Agricultura, Ganadería y Pesca. (2026, 1 de julio). MAGP presenta plan de contingencia ante posible presencia de Evento El Niño. https://www.agricultura.gob.ec/magp-presenta-plan-de-contingencia-ante-posible-presencia-de-evento-el-nino/
Between 4.0 and 4.99 million people are expected to need humanitarian food assistance in Colombia during the projection period through January 2027 as the negative impacts of El Niño increasingly affect livelihoods. La Guajira and Chocó are expected to remain in Crisis, IPC Phase 3, due to weather shocks, localized insecurity, reduced production and income, and prices rising above general inflation.
FEWS NET (2026)
FEWS NET. (2026). Múltiples choques impulsan resultados de Crisis (Fase 3, CIF) en La Guajira y Chocó: Perspectiva de seguridad alimentaria, junio de 2026-enero de 2027. https://fews.net/es/latin-america-and-caribbean/colombia/perspectiva-de-seguridad-alimentaria/junio-2026
Between 2.0 and 2.49 million people will need food assistance in Guatemala from June to September 2026, reaching the upper end of the range between July and August as food stocks decline, income sources decrease and dependence on food purchases intensifies. From October 2026 to January 2027, the population in need is expected to decline to between 1.5 and 1.99 million.
FEWS NET (2026)
FEWS NET. (2026). Reduced rainfall, high temperatures and market dependence maintain Crisis: Guatemala Food Security Outlook, June 2026-January 2027. https://fews.net/latin-america-and-caribbean/guatemala/food-security-outlook/june-2026
20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.
OPSAa (2026)
OPSAa. (2026, 20 de junio). Brasil moviliza 20 ministerios para enfrentar el impacto de El Niño. https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-2787-brasil-moviliza-20-ministerios-para-enfrentar-el-impacto-de-el-nino
63% is the estimated probability of a very strong El Niño between November and January, according to NOAA’s mathematical model cited by the source.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
70% is the potential decline in northern anchovy catch during an El Niño year, according to the estimate cited by Sonapesca.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
25% of cherry production was lost during the 2023-24 El Niño, especially in early varieties, according to the source.
Badal (2026)
Badal, I. (2026, 20 de junio). La amenaza productiva del “Súper Niño”. La Tercera. https://www.latercera.com/pulso/noticia/la-amenaza-productiva-del-super-nino/
September onward is the period when Paraguay’s Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock expects El Niño could have a significant impact, coinciding with the start of the rainy season.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/
200 millimeters of rain in a single day may occur during localized extreme events associated with El Niño in Paraguay, creating problems for production.
ABC Color (2026)
ABC Color. (2026, 19 de junio). El Niño en Paraguay: recomendaciones del MAG para proteger la producción agrícola. ABC Color. https://www.abc.com.py/negocios/abc-campo/2026/06/19/el-nino-en-paraguay-recomendaciones-del-mag-para-proteger-la-produccion-agricola/
