Evidences
239 results
26% of climate disaster damages in LAC are absorbed by the agricultural sector on average, rising to 82% during droughts; equatorial Pacific warming also severely impacts Caribbean coastal fisheries (Castellanos, 2026).
(Castellanos, 2026)
Salazar Castellanos, D. (2026, abril 20). Fenómeno de El Niño: mapa de cultivos y países de América Latina que tendrían mayores riesgos en 2026. Bloomberg Línea. https://www.bloomberglinea.com/economia/fenomeno-de-el-nino-mapa-de-cultivos-y-paises-de-america-latina-que-tendrian-mayores-riesgos-en-2026/
100 million people in LAC face water scarcity despite the region holding 34% of the planet's renewable freshwater (FAO, 2026).
(FAO,2026)
Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura (FAO). (2026, abril 20). La FAO y CEPAL advierten que América Latina y el Caribe enfrenta una crisis hídrica que afecta a más de 100 millones de personas. https://www.fao.org/americas/news/news-detail/crisis-hidrica/es
61% probability is estimated by WMO that El Niño will bring severe droughts to Belize, Guyana, Suriname, Jamaica, and Trinidad and Tobago, threatening crops and water supplies in countries already facing high imported food prices due to the Iran conflict (The Guardian, 2026).
(The Guardian 2026)
The Guardian. (2026, abril 13). El Niño explainer. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/13/el-nino-explainer
+1.5°C anomaly in the Niño-3.4 region is NOAA's CPC threshold for a "strong" El Niño event, with a 62% probability of occurrence in June–August 2026 (Noll, 2026).
(Noll, 2026)
Noll, B. (2026, abril 6). Super El Niño chances increasing risks. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2026/04/06/super-el-nino-chances-increasing-risks/
ENECMWF models project Pacific temperatures exceeding the 2015 record (+5.04°F), with a 61% probability of El Niño in May–July 2026 (Noll, 2026).
(Noll, 2026)
Noll, B. (2026, abril 6). Super El Niño chances increasing risks. The Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2026/04/06/super-el-nino-chances-increasing-risks/
25% crop yield decline is projected from a 20% fertilizer cut if the conflict exceeds 40 days, affecting 50% of producer budgets (Ibáñez, 2026).
(Ibáñez, 2026)
Ibáñez, M. J. (2026, 4 de abril). El conflicto de Irán ya impacta en los precios mundiales de los alimentos: cereales, leche y azúcar son un 2,4% más caros. El Periódico. https://www.elperiodico.com/es/internacional/20260404/conflicto-iran-impacta-precios-mundiales-alimentos-basicos-128746183
Soybean oil prices rose up to 3.4% in Chicago, reaching 69.68 cents per pound — the highest level since late 2022 — driven by the Iran conflict and new US biofuel blending mandates that materially increase biomass-based diesel demand for 2026 (Hirtzer, Bloomberg Línea, 2026).
(Hirtzer, Bloomberg Línea, 2026).
Bloomberg Línea (2026)
Brazil's soybean production was revised down to 179 million tonnes (from 180M) due to excessive rainfall in northern and central producing states; Brazil's competitive discount makes it unlikely China will purchase an additional 8 million tonnes of soybeans from the US (Darragh & Bhanu, Kpler, 2026).
Darragh, M., y Bhanu, I. (2026, 27 de marzo). The Strait of Hormuz blockade: what it means for grain and food security. Kpler.
Kpler(2026)
Since February 28, 2026, only 5 fertilizer vessels have exited the Persian Gulf; the Gulf accounts for ~25% of global nitrogen fertilizer exports, generating a buildup of inventory with no clear exit, pushing global prices upward (Darragh & Bhanu, Kpler, 2026).
Darragh, M., y Bhanu, I. (2026). The Strait of Hormuz blockade: what it means for grain and food security. Kpler.
Kpler (2026)
Peru's agricultural production grew by 5.64% in January 2026 compared to the same month the previous year, driven by an increase in the area under cultivation and favorable weather conditions.
Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática - INEI (2026). Informe Técnico: Producción Nacional N° 3, Enero 2026
Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática del Perú (INEI)
