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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

227 results

Three crops at risk from El Niño

28/07/2026 Go to Evidence

3 strategic crops, maize, sugar and wheat, face production risks associated with El Niño: lower maize and sugar production in Brazil and impacts on part of Argentina's wheat harvest.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 28 de julio). ¿Qué países serán los más golpeados por El Niño en 2026? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/paises-mas-golpeados-el-nino-america-latina-2026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Value_chains Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition
Country: Brazil Argentina
Sector: Cereals and cereal products Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Agricultural producers Family agriculture Exporters Private enterprises
Result: Improved productivity Risk mitigation Impact: Food and nutritional security

Three countries attract 70% of investment

28/07/2026 Go to Evidence

70% of new United States investment in Latin America since 2003 was concentrated in Brazil, Mexico and Guyana; in 2025 Mexico received US$7.98 billion and Brazil US$6.49 billion.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 28 de julio). ¿Qué países de América Latina captan más inversión de EE. UU.? https://www.agrolatam.com/actualidad-latam/inversion-estados-unidos-america-latina-agro-china-2026/

Tag: InvestmentFinancing Geopolitics Value_chains
Country: Brazil Mexico Guyana Latin America (aggregate) United States
Sector: Multisectoral Agri-Food (total) Finance, banking and insurance
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions
Result: Impact: Economic growth Improved commercial competitiveness Income improvement

Four countries most exposed to El Niño

28/07/2026 Go to Evidence

4 Latin American countries, Colombia, Peru, Brazil and Argentina, have the greatest exposure to an intense El Niño event in 2026, according to a Bank of America report.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 28 de julio). ¿Qué países serán los más golpeados por El Niño en 2026? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/paises-mas-golpeados-el-nino-america-latina-2026/

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition
Country: Colombia Peru Brazil Argentina Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Family agriculture
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation

El Niño may pressure two inflation types

28/07/2026 Go to Evidence

2 components of inflation, food and energy, could increase in response to an intense El Niño event in Latin America during 2026.

AgroLatam.com (2026)

AgroLatam.com. (2026, 28 de julio). ¿Qué países serán los más golpeados por El Niño en 2026? https://www.agrolatam.com/agricultura-latam/paises-mas-golpeados-el-nino-america-latina-2026/

Tag: Food_Inflation ElNiño Climate_Risks Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Agriculture&Energy
Country: Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate) Colombia Peru Brazil Argentina
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Renewable energy
Area: Agrifood Context
Beneficiary: Consumers Agricultural producers Private enterprises Public institutions
Result: Food affordability Impact: Food and nutritional security Risk mitigation

Brazil mobilizes 20 ministries

20/06/2026 Go to Evidence

20 Brazilian government ministries were coordinated to implement preventive and response measures against the potential impacts of El Niño on agriculture, water resources, infrastructure, and vulnerable populations.

OPSAa (2026)

OPSAa. (2026, 20 de junio). Brasil moviliza 20 ministerios para enfrentar el impacto de El Niño. https://opsaa.iica.int/es/resource-2787-brasil-moviliza-20-ministerios-para-enfrentar-el-impacto-de-el-nino

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Floods
Country: Brazil
Sector: Multisectoral Agri-Food (total)
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national Early warning systems Strategic planning
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Institutional capacity building Improved public policy formulation and implementation

Imports from the region

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness Impact: Economic growth

Exports to the Middle East

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

0.6% of Brazil's GDP corresponds to exports to Middle Eastern countries impacted by the conflict (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness

Trade dependence of the Middle East

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness

Potential phosphate deficiency

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazil could face a phosphate deficit of between 1 and 3 million tons if supply restrictions persist (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Agricultural producers

Dependence on imported phosphates

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

78% of phosphate consumption in Brazil depends on imports, which exposes the country to external restrictions (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness