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Evidences

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Costa Rica Forecasts a Dry Week Nationwide

05/10/2026 Go to Evidence

From October 5 to 11, 2026, every region of Costa Rica is forecast to receive below-normal rainfall. The IMN estimates an extreme-event probability of about 20%, although it reports high uncertainty for this final week of the outlook.

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica. (2026). Pronóstico subestacional: válido del 14 de septiembre al 11 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

Soy up 7% and wheat down 15.8%

23/09/2026 Go to Evidence

7% is the projected increase in soybean output to 53.6 million tonnes; wheat would fall 15.8% to 23.4 million tonnes and barley 7.4% to 5 million tonnes.

Stringaro (2026)

Stringaro, L. (2026, 23 de septiembre). Campaña 2026/27: el campo va por 157,8 millones de toneladas. La Capital. https://www.lacapital.com.ar/agro/campana-202627-el-campo-va-1578-millones-toneladas-n10282513.html

US$41.497 billion in export revenue

23/09/2026 Go to Evidence

US$41.497 billion in export revenue is projected, 6.9% more than in 2026; fiscal revenue would reach US$15.037 billion (+3.9%) and gross agro-industrial product US$54.297 billion (+5.9%).

Stringaro (2026)

Stringaro, L. (2026, 23 de septiembre). Campaña 2026/27: el campo va por 157,8 millones de toneladas. La Capital. https://www.lacapital.com.ar/agro/campana-202627-el-campo-va-1578-millones-toneladas-n10282513.html

157.8 million tonnes in 2026/27

23/09/2026 Go to Evidence

157.8 million tonnes is the projected output of Argentina's 2026/27 crop season across 37.02 million hectares, an increase of 0.5% from the previous season.

Stringaro (2026)

Stringaro, L. (2026, 23 de septiembre). Campaña 2026/27: el campo va por 157,8 millones de toneladas. La Capital. https://www.lacapital.com.ar/agro/campana-202627-el-campo-va-1578-millones-toneladas-n10282513.html

Community alert prevented deaths

22/09/2026 Go to Evidence

19 people, mostly women farmers, operate the Community Hydroclimatic Monitoring Network in southern Ahuachapán, El Salvador; during Tropical Storm Julia, an alert issued after more than six hours of rain enabled vulnerable families to evacuate two hours before the rivers overflowed, with no loss of life.

Paz Cardona (2026)

Paz Cardona, A. (2026, 22 de septiembre). Comunidades latinoamericanas se apropian de los datos científicos para sobrevivir a la crisis climática. Agencia Ocote. https://www.agenciaocote.com/blog/2026/09/22/datos-climaticos-comunitarios-sobrevivir-crisis-climatica/

Only 6% of budgets prevent future risks

22/09/2026 Go to Evidence

83% of disasters in Latin America and the Caribbean are related to climate hazards, but only 6% of the regional risk-management budget is allocated to preventing future risks and 16% to reducing existing risks.

Paz Cardona (2026)

Paz Cardona, A. (2026, 22 de septiembre). Comunidades latinoamericanas se apropian de los datos científicos para sobrevivir a la crisis climática. Agencia Ocote. https://www.agenciaocote.com/blog/2026/09/22/datos-climaticos-comunitarios-sobrevivir-crisis-climatica/

1.7 million disaster displacements

22/09/2026 Go to Evidence

1.7 million new internal displacements caused by disasters were recorded in 2024 in Brazil, Cuba, Colombia, Haiti and Ecuador alone, according to the 2025 Global Report on Internal Displacement cited by the source.

Paz Cardona (2026)

Paz Cardona, A. (2026, 22 de septiembre). Comunidades latinoamericanas se apropian de los datos científicos para sobrevivir a la crisis climática. Agencia Ocote. https://www.agenciaocote.com/blog/2026/09/22/datos-climaticos-comunitarios-sobrevivir-crisis-climatica/

IMN forecasts Pacific rainfall deficit in CR

21/09/2026 Go to Evidence

For the period September 21 to October 18, 2026, Costa Rica's National Meteorological Institute (IMN) forecasts below-normal rainfall across the Pacific slope, Central Valley, and Northwestern Zone, driven by trade winds unusually stronger than typical for this time of year - an atypical pattern consistent with the rainfall deficit El Nino has been driving across Central America during 2026. The Caribbean and Northern Zone would remain rainy through the second half of September before returning to normal conditions in October.

IMN Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorologico Nacional (IMN) de Costa Rica. (2026, September). Pronostico subestacional: valido del 21 de setiembre al 18 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/web/imn/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

IMN forecasts nationwide drought in Costa Rica

21/09/2026 Go to Evidence

For the week of October 12-18, 2026, Costa Rica's National Meteorological Institute (IMN) forecasts a generalization of dry conditions nationwide: the Pacific, Caribbean, Northern Zone, Central Valley, and Northwestern Zone would all see below-normal rainfall, with the forecast's uncertainty level rated as high.

IMN Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorologico Nacional (IMN) de Costa Rica. (2026, September). Pronostico subestacional: valido del 21 de setiembre al 18 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/web/imn/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

366.6 million tonnes of grain projected

18/09/2026 Go to Evidence

366.6 million tonnes could be reached by Brazil's grain harvest in 2026/27, the highest volume in Conab's historical series if the projection is confirmed.

Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (2026)

Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento. (2026, 18 de setembro). Safra de grãos em 2026/27 pode chegar a 366,6 milhões de toneladas. ConabCast. https://cast.conab.gov.br/post/2026-09-18_perspectivas_2026-27/