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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

281 results

Weak El Niño has 60%

01/05/2026 Go to Evidence

60% is the approximate probability assigned by Enfen to a weak El Niño event in Peru during 2026.

Bío Bío Chile (2026)

Bío Bío Chile. (2026, 1 de mayo). Lluvias, sequías y calor extremo: cómo afectará "El Niño Global" a Chile y Perú este año. https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/ciencia-y-tecnologia/medio-ambiente-cyt/2026/05/01/lluvias-sequias-y-calor-extremo-como-afectara-el-nino-global-a-chile-y-peru-este-ano.shtml

Tag: ElNiño Climate_Risks Droughts Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Outlook-2025-2026
Country: Peru
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Environment and natural resources Agri-environmental
Area: Regenerative and Resilient Agriculture Water for Agriculture Agrifood Context
Instrument: Early warning systems Studies and diagnoses
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Rural communities
Result: Impact: Climate risk resilience Risk mitigation Information generation

Dependence on imports

06/04/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 80% of the fertilizers used in Latin America are imported, which increases regional vulnerability to external shocks (Mundoagro, 2026).

Mundoagro. (2026). El impacto por región y los riesgos de la crisis global de fertilizantes para la fruticultura. https://mundoagro.io/cl/el-impacto-por-region-y-los-riesgos-de-la-crisis-global-de-fertilizantes-para-la-fruticultura/

Mundoagro. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers

Imports from the region

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness Impact: Economic growth

Support plan for the sector

25/03/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazil will allocate $2.9 billion to a new plan to reduce the impact of rising fertilizer prices on agriculture (Agrolatam, 2026).

Agrolatam. (2026). Brasil prepara un plan de 2.900 millones de dólares y elimina aranceles para fertilizantes en medio de la crisis global. https://www.agrolatam.com/actualidad-latam/brasil-plan-2900-millones-aranceles-fertilizantes-agro/

AgroLatam

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers

Decline in world trade

23/03/2026 Go to Evidence

The value of the global fertilizer trade fell by 8.9% in 2024 compared to 2023 (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers

Origin of ammonia in the EU

23/03/2026 Go to Evidence

26.5% of the European Union's ammonia imports originate from Russia (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict Geopolitics
Country: Europe (aggregate) Russia
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Public institutions Agricultural producers

European dependence on Russia

23/03/2026 Go to Evidence

21.9% of European imports of nitrogen fertilizers came from Russia and Belarus in 2025 (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict Geopolitics
Country: Belarus Europe (aggregate) Russia
Sector: Agriculture, forestry, and fishery products Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Public institutions Agricultural producers

Concentration in Asia-Pacific

23/03/2026 Go to Evidence

44.8% of global fertilizer production is concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region (Earth Platform, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: South-East Asia and Pacific
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers

Global concentration of production

23/03/2026 Go to Evidence

60% of global fertilizer production is concentrated in five countries (China, USA, Russia, India and Canada) (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Canada China United States India Russia
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers

Mastery of nitrogen fertilizers

23/03/2026 Go to Evidence

75% of the value of the world trade in fertilizers corresponds to nitrogenous fertilizers (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers