Evidences
55 results
60,000 people in Haiti's central region are without access to WFP food assistance due to gang violence. 1.4 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) are at risk of food insecurity.
(The Republic, 2026)
The Republic. (2026, abril 2). Haitians cut back on already scarce food and ask how they'll survive rising fuel prices. https://www.therepublic.com/2026/04/12/haitians-cut-back-on-already-scarce-food-and-ask-how-theyll-survive-rising-fuel-prices/
Targeted cash transfers reduce poverty approximately 2× more per dollar spent than universal subsidies in response to food price shocks.
Crawfurd, L., & Kandpal, E. (2026). The Iran war oil shock will hit the hungry hardest—Cash should be part of the response. Center for Global Development.
Center for Global Development(2026)
45 million people could be pushed into acute hunger if the Iran conflict persists, as the poorest households spend between 50% and 70% of their income on food
(Crawfurd & Kandpal, CGDev, 2026)
Center for global development (2026)
Soybean oil prices rose up to 3.4% in Chicago, reaching 69.68 cents per pound — the highest level since late 2022 — driven by the Iran conflict and new US biofuel blending mandates that materially increase biomass-based diesel demand for 2026 (Hirtzer, Bloomberg Línea, 2026).
(Hirtzer, Bloomberg Línea, 2026).
Bloomberg Línea (2026)
Gulf countries account for 13% of global nitrogen exports and 9% of phosphate nutrients; the Hormuz closure disrupts this critical chain for producing fertilizers such as urea and ammonia (UNCTAD, 2026).
UNCTAD. (2026). Actualización sobre el comercio mundial 2026: Principales tendencias que configuran el comercio internacional. Naciones Unidas
Conferencia de las Naciones Unidas sobre Comercio y Desarrollo (2026)
Brazil's soybean production was revised down to 179 million tonnes (from 180M) due to excessive rainfall in northern and central producing states; Brazil's competitive discount makes it unlikely China will purchase an additional 8 million tonnes of soybeans from the US (Darragh & Bhanu, Kpler, 2026).
Darragh, M., y Bhanu, I. (2026, 27 de marzo). The Strait of Hormuz blockade: what it means for grain and food security. Kpler.
Kpler(2026)
Since February 28, 2026, only 5 fertilizer vessels have exited the Persian Gulf; the Gulf accounts for ~25% of global nitrogen fertilizer exports, generating a buildup of inventory with no clear exit, pushing global prices upward (Darragh & Bhanu, Kpler, 2026).
Darragh, M., y Bhanu, I. (2026). The Strait of Hormuz blockade: what it means for grain and food security. Kpler.
Kpler (2026)
Fertilizer-related outbound shipments through the Strait of Hormuz dropped to their lowest level since January 2026 following Iran's announcement of the strait's closure on 2 March 2026.
AXSMarine (Signal Group) & World Trade Organization. (2026). Strait of Hormuz Trade Tracker. WTO Data Lab.
World Trade Organization (2026)
21.9% of European imports of nitrogen fertilizers came from Russia and Belarus in 2025 (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).
Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica
Plataforma Tierra. (2026)
26.5% of the European Union's ammonia imports originate from Russia (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).
Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica
Plataforma Tierra. (2026)