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Evidences

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Agricultural drought worsens in the US South

08/09/2026 Go to Evidence

5 to 15°F above normal were temperatures across much of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi and Tennessee the week of September 8, 2026, worsening soil moisture deficits and driving widespread agricultural drought impacts across the region.

Riganti & Tadesse (2026)

Riganti, C., & Tadesse, T. (2026, 8 de septiembre). National Drought Summary for September 8, 2026. U.S. Drought Monitor, National Drought Mitigation Center. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/services/data/summary/html/usdm_summary_20260908.html

Agricultural drought grows in the US Corn Belt

08/09/2026 Go to Evidence

10 to 15°F above normal were temperatures across large parts of Iowa, Missouri and Illinois (Corn Belt) the week of September 8, 2026, driving widespread agricultural drought impacts in south-central and southwest Missouri.

Riganti & Tadesse (2026)

Riganti, C., & Tadesse, T. (2026, 8 de septiembre). National Drought Summary for September 8, 2026. U.S. Drought Monitor, National Drought Mitigation Center. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/services/data/summary/html/usdm_summary_20260908.html

El Niño: Nearly 100% Persistence to Feb. 2027

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

Nearly 100% is the probability that El Niño will persist during September-November 2026 and December 2026-February 2027, according to seasonal forecasts from WMO Global Producing Centres for Long-Range Forecasts.

Organización Meteorológica Mundial (2026)

Organización Meteorológica Mundial. (2026, September 3). El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2026). https://wmo.int/resources/publication-series/el-ninola-nina-updates/august-2026

Honduras drought destroys 8,772 ha of maize

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

Prolonged drought during the 2026 Primera season destroyed 8,772 hectares of maize and 3,080 hectares of red beans in the Honduran departments of Lempira, Ocotepeque, Intibuca, and Comayagua (Dry Corridor). The Government of Honduras declared a state of drought on August 19, 2026, and issued a red alert over the agricultural losses.

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning (2026)

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning. (2026, September 3). Crop Monitor for Early Warning (No. 119). https://www.cropmonitor.org/crop-monitor-for-early-warning

Central America rainfall at 30-60% of average

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

Between April 1 and August 20, 2026, the Pacific coastal areas of Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua received only 30-60% of their average seasonal rainfall, ranking among the driest such periods since the CHIRPS record began in 1981.

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning (2026)

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning. (2026, September 3). Crop Monitor for Early Warning (No. 119). https://www.cropmonitor.org/crop-monitor-for-early-warning

1 million Hondurans hit by drought

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

An estimated 1 million people in Honduras are facing water shortages and crop and livestock losses due to the prolonged 2026 drought, according to an emergency assessment (DREF) cited in the August 2026 report.

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning (2026)

GEOGLAM Crop Monitor for Early Warning. (2026, September 3). Crop Monitor for Early Warning (No. 119). https://www.cropmonitor.org/crop-monitor-for-early-warning

El Niño Could Reach Very Strong Intensity in 2026

03/09/2026 Go to Evidence

Before the end of 2026, El Niño is forecast to reach very strong intensity and peak toward the close of the year. WMO forecasts do not anticipate ENSO-neutral conditions or a return to La Niña during the outlook period.

Organización Meteorológica Mundial (2026)

Organización Meteorológica Mundial. (2026, September 3). El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2026). https://wmo.int/resources/publication-series/el-ninola-nina-updates/august-2026

Driest June-August period since 1967

02/09/2026 Go to Evidence

415.8 mm was the average accumulated precipitation in French Guiana from June through August 2026, the lowest total for that period since 1967 and equivalent to a 36% deficit, calculated using 13 reference stations.

Météo-France Guyane (2026).

Météo-France Guyane. (2026, September 2). Prévisions saisonnières de septembre à novembre 2026. https://meteofrance.gf/fr/climat/previsions-saisonnieres-de-septembre-novembre-2026

August rainfall deficit reached 67%

02/09/2026 Go to Evidence

67% was the precipitation deficit recorded in French Guiana during August 2026, following deficits of 49% in July and 17% in June.

Météo-France Guyane (2026).

Météo-France Guyane. (2026, September 2). Prévisions saisonnières de septembre à novembre 2026. https://meteofrance.gf/fr/climat/previsions-saisonnieres-de-septembre-novembre-2026

Guatemala drought affects 236,447 families

28/08/2026 Go to Evidence

The drought that El Nino is intensifying across Central America has left 236,447 Guatemalan families affected, according to the National Food and Nutrition Security Council (CONASAN), reported at its extraordinary meeting on August 28, 2026, which is evaluating raising the alert level to orange or red to activate the National Response Plan.

SESAN Guatemala - CONASAN (2026)

Secretaria de Seguridad Alimentaria y Nutricional (SESAN). (2026, August 28). CONASAN en alerta: sequia pone en riesgo cultivos, agua y economia familiar. https://portal.sesan.gob.gt/2026/08/28/conasan-en-alerta-sequia-pone-en-riesgo-cultivos-agua-y-economia-familiar/