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Evidences

248 results

Haiti: Poverty and Inflation Cut Food Access

02/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Nearly 40% of Haitians survive on less than $2.15 daily, and experts warn the fuel hike will force 'impossible tradeoffs' regarding basic services and food access for already struggling families.

(The Republic, 2026)

The Republic. (2026). Haitians cut back on already scarce food and ask how they'll survive rising fuel prices. https://www.therepublic.com/2026/04/12/haitians-cut-back-on-already-scarce-food-and-ask-how-theyll-survive-rising-fuel-prices/

Haiti: Fuel Hike Worsens Food Insecurity

02/04/2026 Go to Evidence

On April 2, 2026, Haiti's government announced a 37% increase in diesel prices and 29% in gasoline, triggering street protests in Port-au-Prince. With gangs controlling an estimated 90% of fuel distribution, the price hike is compounding an already severe food security crisis.

(The Republic, 2026)

The Republic. (2026). Haitians cut back on already scarce food and ask how they'll survive rising fuel prices. https://www.therepublic.com/2026/04/12/haitians-cut-back-on-already-scarce-food-and-ask-how-theyll-survive-rising-fuel-prices/

Impact on national demand

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

20% of the total demand for phosphates in Brazil could be affected by the projected deficit (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Increase in the price of urea

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Urea prices in Brazil increased by 35% during the first weeks of March due to the conflict (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Imports from the region

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Impact on production costs

30/03/2026 Go to Evidence

Between 20% and 40% of the production cost in fruit farming corresponds to the use of fertilizers (Mundoagro, 2026).

Mundoagro. (2026). El impacto por región y los riesgos de la crisis global de fertilizantes para la fruticultura. https://mundoagro.io/cl/el-impacto-por-region-y-los-riesgos-de-la-crisis-global-de-fertilizantes-para-la-fruticultura/

Mundoagro. (2026)

Possible impact of El Niño on GDP (Peru)

20/03/2026 Go to Evidence

It is estimated that the effects of a weak coastal El Niño in Peru could subtract 0.1 percentage points from the growth of economic activity in 2026. (Central Reserve Bank of Peru, 2026).

Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. (20 de marzo de 2026). Reporte de inflación - Marzo 2026.

Banco Central de Reserva del Perú

Effect of the c. of Hormuz on inflation (Peru)

20/03/2026 Go to Evidence

It is estimated that the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz will have an impact on inflation of 0.4 percentage points due to increased costs of freight, fertilizers, petrochemicals, among others. (Central Reserve Bank of Peru, 2026).

Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. (20 de marzo de 2026). Reporte de inflación - Marzo 2026.

Banco Central de Reserva del Perú