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Evidences

221 results

Caribbean: Iran war and El Niño worsen hunger

13/04/2026 Go to Evidence

45 million additional people could fall into acute hunger if the Iran war persists, with the Caribbean among the most vulnerable regions due to food import dependence and El Niño drought threats (The Guardian, 2026).

(The Guardian, 2026)

The Guardian. (2026, abril 13). El Niño explainer. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/apr/13/el-nino-explainer

FAO: Food Price Index rises 2.4% in March

05/04/2026 Go to Evidence

2.4% rise in FAO's Food Price Index in March 2026 reached its highest since September of the prior year, with crude oil near USD 120 per barrel due to the Iran conflict (Ibáñez, 2026).

(Ibáñez, 2026)

Ibáñez, M. J. (2026, 4 de abril). El conflicto de Irán ya impacta en los precios mundiales de los alimentos: cereales, leche y azúcar son un 2,4% más caros. El Periódico. https://www.elperiodico.com/es/internacional/20260404/conflicto-iran-impacta-precios-mundiales-alimentos-basicos-128746183

Haiti: Poverty and Inflation Cut Food Access

02/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Nearly 40% of Haitians survive on less than $2.15 daily, and experts warn the fuel hike will force 'impossible tradeoffs' regarding basic services and food access for already struggling families.

(The Republic, 2026)

The Republic. (2026). Haitians cut back on already scarce food and ask how they'll survive rising fuel prices. https://www.therepublic.com/2026/04/12/haitians-cut-back-on-already-scarce-food-and-ask-how-theyll-survive-rising-fuel-prices/

Haiti: Gang Violence Limits WFP Food Delivery

02/04/2026 Go to Evidence

60,000 people in Haiti's central region are without access to WFP food assistance due to gang violence. 1.4 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) are at risk of food insecurity.

(The Republic, 2026)

The Republic. (2026, abril 2). Haitians cut back on already scarce food and ask how they'll survive rising fuel prices. https://www.therepublic.com/2026/04/12/haitians-cut-back-on-already-scarce-food-and-ask-how-theyll-survive-rising-fuel-prices/

Haiti: Fuel Hike Worsens Food Insecurity

02/04/2026 Go to Evidence

On April 2, 2026, Haiti's government announced a 37% increase in diesel prices and 29% in gasoline, triggering street protests in Port-au-Prince. With gangs controlling an estimated 90% of fuel distribution, the price hike is compounding an already severe food security crisis.

(The Republic, 2026)

The Republic. (2026). Haitians cut back on already scarce food and ask how they'll survive rising fuel prices. https://www.therepublic.com/2026/04/12/haitians-cut-back-on-already-scarce-food-and-ask-how-theyll-survive-rising-fuel-prices/

Cash transfers vs. generalized subsidies

02/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Targeted cash transfers reduce poverty approximately 2× more per dollar spent than universal subsidies in response to food price shocks.

Crawfurd, L., & Kandpal, E. (2026). The Iran war oil shock will hit the hungry hardest—Cash should be part of the response. Center for Global Development.

Center for Global Development(2026)

Caribbean under pressure from Middle East conflict

19/03/2026 Go to Evidence

The IMF warns that energy-importing Caribbean countries face balance of payments pressures due to rising oil and food prices; oil surpassed USD 100/barrel (+50% in one month), with additional risks for tourism- and remittance-dependent economies.

Kozack, J. ( 2026). International Monetary Fund.

International Monetary Fund 2026

Risk to Fertilizer Supplies in Hormuz

10/03/2026 Go to Evidence

33% of global maritime fertilizer trade (16 Mt) passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and in some countries, up to 54% of imports come from the Persian Gulf. During the last energy crisis, the natural gas index exceeded 1,000, while nitrogen fertilizers exceeded 700 (urea) and 900 (DAP).

UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD), (2026, 10 de marzo). Las interrupciones del transporte marítimo en Ormuz aumentan los riesgos para la energía, los fertilizantes y las economías vulnerables.

UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

Tanker freight and marine fuel rise in Hormuz

10/03/2026 Go to Evidence

Freight rates for oil tankers rose (BDTI +54% and BCTI +72%), while marine fuel prices increased by up to +99% for low-sulfur fuel and +100% for high-sulfur fuel, driving up transportation costs in global supply chains.

UNCTAD (2026). Las interrupciones del transporte marítimo en Ormuz aumentan los riesgos para la energía, los fertilizantes y las economías vulnerables.

UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD)

Brent prices rise following disruptions in Ormuz

10/03/2026 Go to Evidence

The price of Brent crude rose by 27%, reaching approximately $91.80 per barrel, while the price of European natural gas (TTF) rose by 74%, reaching nearly €55.80 per MWh.

UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD), (2026, 10 de marzo). Las interrupciones del transporte marítimo en Ormuz aumentan los riesgos para la energía, los fertilizantes y las economías vulnerables.

UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD)