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Evidences

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Costa Rica Forecasts a Dry Week Nationwide

05/10/2026 Go to Evidence

From October 5 to 11, 2026, every region of Costa Rica is forecast to receive below-normal rainfall. The IMN estimates an extreme-event probability of about 20%, although it reports high uncertainty for this final week of the outlook.

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica. (2026). Pronóstico subestacional: válido del 14 de septiembre al 11 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

IMN forecasts nationwide drought in Costa Rica

21/09/2026 Go to Evidence

For the week of October 12-18, 2026, Costa Rica's National Meteorological Institute (IMN) forecasts a generalization of dry conditions nationwide: the Pacific, Caribbean, Northern Zone, Central Valley, and Northwestern Zone would all see below-normal rainfall, with the forecast's uncertainty level rated as high.

IMN Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorologico Nacional (IMN) de Costa Rica. (2026, September). Pronostico subestacional: valido del 21 de setiembre al 18 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/web/imn/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

IMN forecasts Pacific rainfall deficit in CR

21/09/2026 Go to Evidence

For the period September 21 to October 18, 2026, Costa Rica's National Meteorological Institute (IMN) forecasts below-normal rainfall across the Pacific slope, Central Valley, and Northwestern Zone, driven by trade winds unusually stronger than typical for this time of year - an atypical pattern consistent with the rainfall deficit El Nino has been driving across Central America during 2026. The Caribbean and Northern Zone would remain rainy through the second half of September before returning to normal conditions in October.

IMN Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorologico Nacional (IMN) de Costa Rica. (2026, September). Pronostico subestacional: valido del 21 de setiembre al 18 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/web/imn/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

NAMA reaches over 4,100 farms

17/09/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 4,100 farms implement Livestock NAMA measures in Costa Rica through technologies that increase productivity and producers' income.

Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería de Costa Rica (2026).

Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería de Costa Rica. (2026, 17 de septiembre). La ganadería costarricense se transforma: NAMA Ganadería suma ya más de 4 mil fincas, con una cobertura de 200 mil hectáreas. https://mag.go.cr/la-ganaderia-costarricense-se-transforma-nama-ganaderia-suma-ya-mas-de-4-mil-fincas-con-una-cobertura-de-200-mil-hectareas/

NAMA covers 200,000 hectares

17/09/2026 Go to Evidence

200,000 hectares are covered by more than 4,100 farms applying Livestock NAMA technologies for more resilient and low-emission production.

Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería de Costa Rica (2026).

Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería de Costa Rica. (2026, 17 de septiembre). La ganadería costarricense se transforma: NAMA Ganadería suma ya más de 4 mil fincas, con una cobertura de 200 mil hectáreas. https://mag.go.cr/la-ganaderia-costarricense-se-transforma-nama-ganaderia-suma-ya-mas-de-4-mil-fincas-con-una-cobertura-de-200-mil-hectareas/

Costa Rica: Four Weeks of Rainfall Deficits

14/09/2026 Go to Evidence

During the four weeks from September 14 to October 11, 2026, the IMN forecasts below-normal rainfall in Costa Rica's Pacific region, Central Valley, and Western Northern Zone. The pattern is expected to be associated with El Niño and stronger-than-usual trade winds.

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica. (2026). Pronóstico subestacional: válido del 14 de septiembre al 11 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

Costa Rica: Northern Zone Could Receive 155 mm

14/09/2026 Go to Evidence

Between 30 and 155 mm of rain could accumulate in Costa Rica's Northern Zone from September 14 to 20, 2026, the highest forecast range among the country's regions. The probability of an extreme event is low, at about 25%, and forecast uncertainty is also low.

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica (2026)

Instituto Meteorológico Nacional de Costa Rica. (2026). Pronóstico subestacional: válido del 14 de septiembre al 11 de octubre de 2026. https://www.imn.ac.cr/busqueda?_101_assetEntryId=564589&_101_struts_action=%2Fasset_publisher%2Fview_content&_101_type=content&_101_urlTitle=contenido-pronostico-subestacional&p_p_id=101&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_mode=view&p_p_state=maximized

LAC: 50% hydro energy at risk from El Niño drought

20/04/2026 Go to Evidence

50% of Latin America's energy comes from hydroelectric sources, making the region highly exposed to El Niño; droughts force reliance on costlier thermal plants, raising agricultural production costs (Castellanos, 2026).

(Castellanos,2026)

Salazar Castellanos, D. (2026, abril 20). Fenómeno de El Niño: mapa de cultivos y países de América Latina que tendrían mayores riesgos en 2026. Bloomberg Línea. https://www.bloomberglinea.com/economia/fenomeno-de-el-nino-mapa-de-cultivos-y-paises-de-america-latina-que-tendrian-mayores-riesgos-en-2026/

Agriculture vs. other sectors IAP

08/12/2025 Go to Evidence

In the sectoral mapping of PAIs, agriculture, forestry, hunting and fishing accounts for 248 PAIs (34.8%), followed by manufacturing (188), tourism (70) and ICT (51); additionally, 32 PAIs in health are identified, according to the report (ECLAC, 2025).

En la identificación sectorial de IAP, el rubro agrícola, silvicultura, caza y pesca registra 248 IAP (34,8%), seguido por industrias manufactureras (188), turismo (70) y TIC (51); adicionalmente se identifican 32 IAP en salud (farmacéutico y servicios/dispositivos médicos), según el informe (CEPAL, 2025).

Formality in Costa Rica

02/12/2025 Go to Evidence

56.6% of the population lived in fully formal households in Costa Rica (OECD, 2024).

OECD, 2024

OECD, CEPAL, CAF – Banco de Desarrollo de América Latina y el Caribe, & Comisión Europea. (2024). Perspectivas económicas de América Latina 2024: Financiando el desarrollo sostenible. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/25aed2f5-es

Country: Costa Rica
Sector: Multisectoral
Beneficiary: Agricultural workers