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Monitoring, Evaluation and Best Practices

Data or statistical facts on the situation and perspectives of agri-food systems and the impact of policies

Evidences

141 results

Fifteen countries assess conflict impacts

27/05/2026 Go to Evidence

15 Latin American and Caribbean countries participated in the high-level technical meeting that assessed the effects of the Middle East conflict on regional agrifood systems and their possible medium-term evolution.

Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura (2026)

Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura. (2026, 27 de mayo). FAO recomienda medidas a países de América Latina y el Caribe para enfrentar los efectos del conflicto en Medio Oriente. https://www.fao.org/americas/news/news-detail/fao-recomienda-alc-medidas/

Tag: Armed_Conflict Geopolitics Food_Securtiy_And_Nutrition Value_chains
Country: Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Multisectoral
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Agrifood Context
Instrument: Intersectoral and interinstitucional coordination International technical cooperation Strategies, plans, policies or guidelines; sectoral or national
Beneficiary: Public institutions Agricultural producers Consumers Private enterprises
Result: Institutional capacity building Improved public policy formulation and implementation Risk mitigation Impact: Food and nutritional security

Natural gas price increase

08/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Natural gas prices, the main input for fertilizers, increased by up to 50%, driving up the cost of the sector (Agrolatam, 2026).

Agrolatam. (2026). Fertilizer prices surge in U.S. as urea jumps 34% ahead of planting.

Agrolatam

Tag: Armed_Conflict Geopolitics
Country: World (aggregate)
Sector: Agri-Food (total) Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Agrifood Context Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Agricultural producers

Dependence on imports

06/04/2026 Go to Evidence

More than 80% of the fertilizers used in Latin America are imported, which increases regional vulnerability to external shocks (Mundoagro, 2026).

Mundoagro. (2026). El impacto por región y los riesgos de la crisis global de fertilizantes para la fruticultura. https://mundoagro.io/cl/el-impacto-por-region-y-los-riesgos-de-la-crisis-global-de-fertilizantes-para-la-fruticultura/

Mundoagro. (2026)

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Latin America and the Caribbean (aggregate)
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers

Trade dependence of the Middle East

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness

Imports from the region

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Public institutions Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness Impact: Economic growth

Exports to the Middle East

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

0.6% of Brazil's GDP corresponds to exports to Middle Eastern countries impacted by the conflict (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Agricultural producers
Result: Improved commercial competitiveness

Impact on national demand

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

20% of the total demand for phosphates in Brazil could be affected by the projected deficit (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tag: Armed_Conflict
Country: Brazil
Sector: Fertilizers (Value Chain)
Area: International Trade and Regional Integration Agrifood Context Bioinputs
Beneficiary: Private enterprises Exporters Agricultural producers