Concentration in Asia-Pacific

44.8% of global fertilizer production is concentrated in the Asia-Pacific region (Earth Platform, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Fall in European production

European ammonia production is 19% below 2019 levels (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026

Impact of CBAM on costs

10%–20% is the increase in the cost of ammonia imports in the EU due to the CBAM mechanism (Earth Platform, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Origin of ammonia in the EU

26.5% of the European Union's ammonia imports originate from Russia (Plataforma Tierra, 2026).

Plataforma Tierra. (2026). El mercado mundial de fertilizantes en 2026: geopolítica y tensiones en la oferta. https://www.plataformatierra.es/mercados/mercado-mundial-fertilizantes-2026-geopolitica

Plataforma Tierra. (2026)

Effect of the c. of Hormuz on inflation (Peru)

It is estimated that the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz will have an impact on inflation of 0.4 percentage points due to increased costs of freight, fertilizers, petrochemicals, among others. (Central Reserve Bank of Peru, 2026).

Banco Central de Reserva del Perú. (20 de marzo de 2026). Reporte de inflación - Marzo 2026.

Banco Central de Reserva del Perú

Conflict Could Drive Up Fertilizer Prices

15–20% higher global fertilizer prices are projected during the first half of 2026 due to energy and trade tensions linked to the conflict in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.

(FAO, 2026).

Food and Agriculture Organization

3.49 million may face crisis in Haiti

Between 3.0 and 3.49 million people are expected to face Crisis, IPC Phase 3, or Emergency, IPC Phase 4, outcomes in Haiti between June 2026 and January 2027. The number of people in need is expected to peak in November before the winter harvests due to persistent violence, population displacement, high food prices and below-average incomes.

FEWS NET (2026)

FEWS NET. (2026). Persistent insecurity, high prices, and weather shocks maintain Crisis and Emergency: Haiti Food Security Outlook, June 2026-January 2027. https://fews.net/latin-america-and-caribbean/haiti/food-security-outlook/june-2026

The Suez Canal

14% of cereals and 4.5% of soybeans traded globally pass through the Suez Canal.

JOSEPH GLAUBER AND ABDULLAH MAMUN (jan 2024). IFPRI. IFPRI Blog : Issue post: Impacts of Red Sea shipping disruptions on global food security

Wheat imports

Less than 3% of wheat imports in LAC come from Ukraine and Russia, and even less in the case of other grains (CEPAL, FAO y IICA, 2023).

ISPA, 2023

https://opsaa.iica.int/resource-1157-perspectivas-de-la-agricultura-y-del-desarrollo-rural-en-las-americas:-una-mirada-hacia-america-latina-y-el-caribe-2023-2024-las-crisis-alimentaria,-energetica-y-financiera-estan-empujando-a-mas-

Russian exports of wheat

Twenty percent of the wheat exported in the season beginning July 1, 2023 will come from Russia.

Bloomberg, July 2023

Bloomberg (June 30 2023). Russia is seeking to tighten its grip on World