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Evidences

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Agri-food system

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

16 billion metric tons of CO2eq per year, equivalent to 31% of global GHG emissions, come from the global agri-food system, according to more holistic measurements (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Crippa, M., E. Solazzo, D. Guizzardi, F. Monforti-Ferrario, F. N. Tubiello, and A. Leip. 2021. “Food Systems Are Responsible for a Third of Global Anthropogenic GHG Emissions.” Nature Food 2: 198–209. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00225-9. Tubiello, F., K. Karl, A. Flammini, J. Gutschow, G. Obli-Laryea, G. Conchedda, X. Pan, et al. 2022. “Pre- and Post-production Processes Increasingly Dominate Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Agri-food Systems.” Earth System Science Data 14 (4): 1795–809. https://doi.org/10.5194/ssd-14-1795-2022.

Agri-food emissions

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

25.9% of agri-food emissions come from livestock, followed by forest conversion (18.4%) and food waste (7.9%) (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Agri-food emissions

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

68% of global agri-food emissions come from middle-income countries, while high-income countries contribute 21% and low-income countries 11% (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Base de datos del Banco Mundial/FAOSTAT (2023)

GHG reduction

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

52 gigatons of GHGs must be reduced to zero by 2050 to limit warming to 1.5°C, but without additional measures, an increase of 3.2°C is projected by 2100 (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2023. Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report; Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by H. Lee and J. Romero. Geneva: IPCC. https://doi.org/10.59327/IPCC/AR6-9789291691647.

Agri-food emissions

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

18-fold increase in annual investments, reaching USD 260 billion, will be required to halve food system emissions by 2030 (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Agri-food emissions

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

15 % emissions could be reduced by reducing fertilizer use or adopting organic agriculture, but this could also reduce agricultural production by 5 %, increase food prices by 13 % and make healthy diets more expensive by 10 % (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

European Commission. 2020. “Factsheet: How the Future CAP Will Contribute to the EU Green Deal” (web page). Accessed March 30, 2024. https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/fs_20_910.

Employment in the agri-food sector

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

64% of total employment in low-income countries is in the agrifood sector, compared to 39% in middle-income countries and 11% in high-income countries (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Externalities in the food sector

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

USD 20 trillion per year, almost 20% of world GDP, is the cost of negative externalities of the global food system, including impacts not directly perceived by their generators (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Hendriks, S., A. D. G. Ruiz, M. H. Acosta, H. Baumers, P. Galgani, D. Mason-D’Croz, C. Godde, et al. 2021. “The True Cost and True Price of Food.” Paper prepared for the UN Food Systems Summit 2021, New York, September 23. https://sc-fss2021.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/UNFSS_true_cost_of_food.pdf.

Sustainable agriculture

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

USD 4.3 trillion in 2030 could be generated in health, economic and environmental benefits by investing in low-emission agriculture and land-use transformation, with a 16 to 1 return on costs (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Climate-smart practices

20/09/2024 Go to Evidence

USD 329 billion annually could be generated with climate-smart practices, ensuring food security until 2050 without affecting biodiversity and carbon (Sutton, Lotsch & Prasann, 2024).

Sutton, William R., Alexander Lotsch, & Ashesh Prasann. 2024. Recipe for a Livable Planet: Achieving Net Zero Emissions in the Agrifood System. Agriculture and Food Series. Washington, DC: Banco Mundial. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-2093-9. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Damania, Richard, Stephen Polasky, Mary Ruckelshaus, Jason Russ, Markus Amann, Rebecca Chaplin Kramer, James Gerber, Peter Hawthorne, Martin Philipp Heger, Saleh Mamun, Giovanni Ruta, Rafael Schmitt, Jeffrey Smith, Adrian Vogl, Fabian Wagner, and Esha Zaveri. 2023. Nature’s Frontiers: Achieving Sustainability, Efficiency, and Prosperity with Natural Capital. Environment and Sustainable Development series. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1923-0.