Blog IICA

Evidences

141 results

Potential phosphate deficiency

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazil could face a phosphate deficit of between 1 and 3 million tons if supply restrictions persist (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Trade dependence of the Middle East

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

15% of Brazil's fertilizer imports come from the war-affected region (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Exports to the Middle East

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

0.6% of Brazil's GDP corresponds to exports to Middle Eastern countries impacted by the conflict (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Imports from the region

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

Brazilian imports from the Middle East represent 0.3% of GDP (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Reference interest rate

01/04/2026 Go to Evidence

The rate reached 14.75% after a 25 basis point cut in response to inflationary pressures in Brazil (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Brazilian Corn Exhibition

25% of Brazil's corn exports are destined for the Middle East, increasing sectoral vulnerability (Canuto, 2026).

Canuto, O. (2026). Transmission channels of the war on Iran to the Brazilian economy. Policy Center for the New South. https://www.policycenter.ma/publications/transmission-channels-war-iran-brazilian-economy

Policy Center for the New South

Tariff reduction

30/03/2026 Go to Evidence

0% is the temporary tariff applied to the import of fertilizers to lower agricultural production costs in Brazil (Agrolatam, 2026).

Agrolatam. (2026). Brasil prepara un plan de 2.900 millones de dólares y elimina aranceles para fertilizantes en medio de la crisis global. https://www.agrolatam.com/actualidad-latam/brasil-plan-2900-millones-aranceles-fertilizantes-agro/

AgroLatam

Potential reduction of applications

30/03/2026 Go to Evidence

Fertilizer applications in some crops could decrease by up to 25% due to rising prices (Mundoagro, 2026).

Mundoagro. (2026). El impacto por región y los riesgos de la crisis global de fertilizantes para la fruticultura. https://mundoagro.io/cl/el-impacto-por-region-y-los-riesgos-de-la-crisis-global-de-fertilizantes-para-la-fruticultura/

Mundoagro. (2026)

Impact on production costs

30/03/2026 Go to Evidence

Between 20% and 40% of the production cost in fruit farming corresponds to the use of fertilizers (Mundoagro, 2026).

Mundoagro. (2026). El impacto por región y los riesgos de la crisis global de fertilizantes para la fruticultura. https://mundoagro.io/cl/el-impacto-por-region-y-los-riesgos-de-la-crisis-global-de-fertilizantes-para-la-fruticultura/

Mundoagro. (2026)

Increased fertilizer prices

30/03/2026 Go to Evidence

Fertilizer prices have increased by up to 30% in some markets due to the global crisis (Mundoagro, 2026).

Mundoagro. (2026). El impacto por región y los riesgos de la crisis global de fertilizantes para la fruticultura. https://mundoagro.io/cl/el-impacto-por-region-y-los-riesgos-de-la-crisis-global-de-fertilizantes-para-la-fruticultura/

Mundoagro. (2026)